Probiy Horodenka
vs
Nyva Ternopil
Garuda Lions Prediction: Nyva Ternopil
0 – 2 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 0.86.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Probiy Horodenka vs Nyva Ternopil overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Probiy Horodenka vs Nyva Ternopil
| Probability | Probiy Horodenka | Draw | Nyva Ternopil |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.1% | 24.6% | 59.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 16.1% | 24.6% | 59.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Nyva Ternopil
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 0.86.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Probiy Horodenka vs Nyva Ternopil match preview
Probiy Horodenka faces Nyva Ternopil in the Persha Liga with a kickoff scheduled for November 1, 2026. According to our model, Nyva Ternopil holds a significant advantage with a 59% probability of winning, while Probiy Horodenka has a 16% chance, and the likelihood of a draw stands at 25%. The expected goals for Probiy Horodenka is 0.86, compared to Nyva Ternopil's 1.83, suggesting a challenging match for the home side.
Recent form indicates that Probiy Horodenka has struggled, recording two losses in their last six matches, while Nyva Ternopil has shown more consistency with three wins and three draws in the same period. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-2, with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a nearly equal 49% probability for both teams to score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Probiy Horodenka and Nyva Ternopil expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.69
Probiy Horodenka and Nyva Ternopil attack and defence ratings
Probiy Horodenka
Nyva Ternopil
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Probiy Horodenka vs Nyva Ternopil markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nyva Ternopil | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Probiy Horodenka | 16.1% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Nyva Ternopil | 59.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.4% |
| No | 50.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 40.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 83.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nyva Ternopil win | 35.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.1% | |
| Loss | 40.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 0-2 | 11.4% | |
| 0-1 | 11.4% |
Probiy Horodenka vs Nyva Ternopil stats
Probiy Horodenka and Nyva Ternopil recent form
| Probiy Horodenka |
LDWWLL |
| Nyva Ternopil |
WDWDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Probiy Horodenka and Nyva Ternopil season so far
Probiy Horodenka record
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
Nyva Ternopil record
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Probiy Horodenka vs Nyva Ternopil head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | Nyva Ternopil | Probiy Horodenka | Persha Liga | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-05 | Probiy Horodenka | Nyva Ternopil | Persha Liga | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.