Polissya II
vs
Oleksandria
Garuda Lions Prediction: Oleksandria
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 1.14.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Polissya II vs Oleksandria overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Polissya II vs Oleksandria
| Probability | Polissya II | Draw | Oleksandria |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.5% | 25.0% | 52.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 22.5% | 25.0% | 52.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Oleksandria
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 1.14.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Polissya II vs Oleksandria match preview
Polissya II faces Oleksandria in an upcoming Persha Liga match, with Polissya II holding a 23% probability of winning compared to Oleksandria's 52%. The model predicts a likely scoreline of 1-2, occurring at a rate of 10%. Polissya II has struggled recently, recording a series of losses and draws, while Oleksandria's form shows a mix of wins and draws.
The expected goals for Polissya II stand at 1.14, while Oleksandria is projected at 1.83. There is a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals in the match, and both teams are expected to score, with a 58% likelihood. The confidence grade for this forecast is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Polissya II and Oleksandria expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.97
Polissya II and Oleksandria attack and defence ratings
Polissya II
Oleksandria
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Polissya II vs Oleksandria markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oleksandria | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.5% | 2.10 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Polissya II | 22.5% |
| Draw | 25.0% | |
| Oleksandria | 52.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.2% |
| No | 41.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Oleksandria win | 30.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 47.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 8.6% |
Polissya II vs Oleksandria stats
Polissya II and Oleksandria recent form
| Polissya II |
LDLDLL |
| Oleksandria |
WDLWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Polissya II and Oleksandria season so far
Polissya II record
- They have won 1 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
Oleksandria record
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.