Viktoriya Mykolaivka
vs
SK Poltava
Garuda Lions Prediction: SK Poltava
0 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs SK Poltava overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs SK Poltava
| Probability | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Draw | SK Poltava |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.9% | 29.7% | 38.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 31.9% | 29.7% | 38.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why SK Poltava
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs SK Poltava match preview
Viktoriya Mykolaivka faces SK Poltava in a Persha Liga clash with the model assigning a 32% probability of a home win, while SK Poltava holds a 38% chance of victory. The likelihood of a draw stands at 30%. The most probable scoreline is 0-1, with a 10% chance. Expected goals are estimated at 1.17 for Viktoriya Mykolaivka and 1.30 for SK Poltava.
In terms of recent form, Viktoriya Mykolaivka has recorded a sequence of D-W-D-W-D-L, while SK Poltava has shown a stronger performance with W-W-L-W-L-W. The model indicates a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% probability for both teams to score, reflecting a balanced matchup. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka and SK Poltava expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.47
Viktoriya Mykolaivka and SK Poltava attack and defence ratings
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
SK Poltava
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs SK Poltava markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SK Poltava | 38.4% | 2.60 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 31.9% |
| Draw | 29.7% | |
| SK Poltava | 38.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.5% |
| No | 48.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | SK Poltava win | 17.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 61.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 0-0 | 9.7% | |
| 0-1 | 9.7% |
Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs SK Poltava stats
Viktoriya Mykolaivka and SK Poltava recent form
| Viktoriya Mykolaivka |
DWDWDL |
| SK Poltava |
WWLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka and SK Poltava season so far
Viktoriya Mykolaivka record
- They have won 7 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
SK Poltava record
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.