Kulykiv
vs
UCSA
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kulykiv
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.29 vs 1.37.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Kulykiv vs UCSA overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kulykiv vs UCSA
| Probability | Kulykiv | Draw | UCSA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.4% | 21.3% | 21.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 57.4% | 21.3% | 21.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Kulykiv
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.29 vs 1.37.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Kulykiv vs UCSA match preview
Kulykiv enters this match with a 57% probability of winning, while both a draw and a UCSA victory are each at 21%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Kulykiv, with a 9% likelihood. The expected goals for Kulykiv stand at 2.29, compared to UCSA's 1.37, indicating a stronger offensive performance anticipated from Kulykiv.
In terms of recent form, Kulykiv has recorded a sequence of L-D-W-L-W-L, while UCSA's recent matches show W-D-L-L-D-L. Additionally, there is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, and both teams are expected to score with a 68% probability. The confidence grade for this forecast is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kulykiv and UCSA expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.65
Kulykiv and UCSA attack and defence ratings
Kulykiv
UCSA
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kulykiv vs UCSA markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kulykiv | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.7% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kulykiv | 57.4% |
| Draw | 21.3% | |
| UCSA | 21.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.7% |
| No | 32.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kulykiv win | 36.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 42.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.3% |
| 1-1 | 8.9% | |
| 3-1 | 7.1% |
Kulykiv vs UCSA stats
Kulykiv and UCSA recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kulykiv and UCSA season so far
Kulykiv record
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
UCSA record
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
- 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.