Metal Kharkiv
vs
Lokomotiv Kyiv
4 – 2 Full time
Metal Kharkiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Metal Kharkiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv
| Probability | Metal Kharkiv | Draw | Lokomotiv Kyiv |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.6% | 28.8% | 31.6% |
| Market | 41.1% | 27.8% | 31.1% |
| Final | 40.7% | 28.0% | 31.3% |
| Edge | -0.4% | +0.3% | +0.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Metal Kharkiv and Lokomotiv Kyiv expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.59
Metal Kharkiv and Lokomotiv Kyiv attack and defence ratings
Metal Kharkiv
Lokomotiv Kyiv
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Metal Kharkiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv: result vs prediction
Metal Kharkiv 4 – 2 Lokomotiv Kyiv
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Metal Kharkiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Metal Kharkiv | 40.7% | 2.46 | -0.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Metal Kharkiv | 40.7% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| Lokomotiv Kyiv | 31.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.9% |
| No | 46.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Metal Kharkiv win | 19.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 60.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 1-0 | 9.1% | |
| 0-0 | 8.7% |
Metal Kharkiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv stats
Metal Kharkiv and Lokomotiv Kyiv recent form
| Metal Kharkiv |
WLLDDW |
| Lokomotiv Kyiv |
WLDWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Metal Kharkiv and Lokomotiv Kyiv going into this match
Metal Kharkiv record
- They have won 5 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 14 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Lokomotiv Kyiv record
- They have won 5 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Metal Kharkiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Metal Kharkiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.1%, draw 27.8%, away 31.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.21 | 3.20 | 2.96 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| Betano | 2.20 | 3.25 | 2.90 |
| Dafabet | 2.30 | 3.25 | 2.95 |
| Marathonbet | 2.17 | 3.16 | 2.90 |
| Pinnacle | 2.13 | 3.29 | 2.89 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.00 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .