Chernihiv
vs
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Garuda Lions Prediction: Ahrobiznes Volochysk
0 – 1 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Chernihiv vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chernihiv vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk
| Probability | Chernihiv | Draw | Ahrobiznes Volochysk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.3% | 28.0% | 48.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 23.3% | 28.0% | 48.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Ahrobiznes Volochysk
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 1.00.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Chernihiv vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk match preview
Chernihiv faces Ahrobiznes Volochysk in the Persha Liga with the probabilities indicating a challenging match for the home side. Chernihiv has a 26% chance of winning, while Ahrobiznes Volochysk holds a 46% probability of securing victory. The expected goals for Chernihiv stand at 1.11, compared to Ahrobiznes Volochysk's 1.56, suggesting a potential struggle for the hosts to find the net.
Recent form highlights contrasting performances, with Chernihiv recording two wins and four losses in their last six matches, while Ahrobiznes Volochysk has achieved four wins, one draw, and one loss in the same period. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-1, with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% likelihood of both teams scoring.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Chernihiv and Ahrobiznes Volochysk expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.53
Chernihiv and Ahrobiznes Volochysk attack and defence ratings
Chernihiv
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Chernihiv vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chernihiv | 23.3% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 48.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.7% |
| No | 49.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 51.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk win | 25.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 51.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 0-1 | 11.0% | |
| 0-2 | 9.4% |
Chernihiv vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk stats
Chernihiv and Ahrobiznes Volochysk recent form
| Chernihiv |
LWLLLW |
| Ahrobiznes Volochysk |
WWWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chernihiv and Ahrobiznes Volochysk season so far
Chernihiv record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk record
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chernihiv vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | Chernihiv | Persha Liga | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Chernihiv | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | Persha Liga | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.