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Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 7

Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake

2 – 0 Full time

10′K. Kossa-Rienzi
41′P. Arriola
46′A. RoldanS. Hawkins
46′K. Kossa-RienziP. Kingston
48′D. Musovski
52′P. Kingston
55′S. Brunell
57′K. Henry
63′S. BrunellH. Dotson
63′D. MusovskiJ. Morris
71′L. MoisaS. Lobjanidze
73′A. Rusnak
78′M. GuilavoguiT. Booth
78′S. SolansLineker Rodrigues
78′S. SpieringsC. Guske
82′P. ArriolaC. Clark
87′D. Yedlin
88′N. CaliskanL. O'Gara

Lumen Field, SeattleReferee: J. Dickerson

Seattle Sounders 51%
Draw 25%
Real Salt Lake 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 2
53 Possession % 47
7 Corners 6
10 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 2
2 Saves 2
466 Accurate passes 405

Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySeattle SoundersDrawReal Salt Lake
Model49.1%26.5%24.5%
Market51.6%24.2%24.2%
Final51.0%24.8%24.2%
Edge-2.5%+2.2%+0.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Seattle Sounders

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 1.13.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Seattle Sounde ↓ / Real Salt Lake → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 9% 13% 6% 2 9% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 53%
No goals 7%

Seattle Sounders and Real Salt Lake expected goals

Seattle Sounders 1.68
Real Salt Lake 1.13

Total expected goals: 2.81

Seattle Sounders and Real Salt Lake attack and defence ratings

Seattle Sounders

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Real Salt Lake

Attack 0.76 -24%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake: result vs prediction

Seattle Sounders 2 – 0 Real Salt Lake

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Before and after this match

Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Seattle Sounders 51.0% 1.96 -2.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.3% 1.88 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.2% 1.78 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.8% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.9% 1.96 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Seattle Sounders51.0%
Draw24.8%
Real Salt Lake24.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.3%
Under 2.546.7%
Both teams to scoreYes56.2%
No43.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.8%
12 (either side)75.2%
X2 (draw or away)49.0%
Handicap -1Seattle Sounders win26.9%
Push (exactly one goal)22.1%
Loss50.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.6%
2-19.6%
1-09.0%

Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake stats

Seattle Sounders and Real Salt Lake recent form

newest first
Seattle Sounders DDDDDL
Real Salt Lake LLLDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Seattle Sounders and Real Salt Lake going into this match

league record before kick-off

Seattle Sounders record

  • They have won 7 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Real Salt Lake record

  • They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Seattle Sounders wins 2Draws 6Real Salt Lake wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-01Real Salt LakeSeattle SoundersMajor League Soccer2-1
2025-10-12Seattle SoundersReal Salt LakeMajor League Soccer1-0
2025-03-01Real Salt LakeSeattle SoundersMajor League Soccer2-0
2024-05-30Seattle SoundersReal Salt LakeMajor League Soccer1-1
2024-05-16Real Salt LakeSeattle SoundersMajor League Soccer2-0
2023-07-23Real Salt LakeSeattle SoundersLeagues Cup3-0
2023-04-30Real Salt LakeSeattle SoundersMajor League Soccer0-0
2023-03-05Seattle SoundersReal Salt LakeMajor League Soccer2-0
2022-08-15Seattle SoundersReal Salt LakeMajor League Soccer1-2
2022-03-05Real Salt LakeSeattle SoundersMajor League Soccer1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 51.6%, draw 24.2%, away 24.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
Bet365 1.83 4.00 3.90
BetVictor 1.80 3.90 3.90
Betano 1.87 4.05 4.10
Betfair 1.80 3.90 4.00
Marathonbet 1.79 3.82 3.92
Pinnacle 1.83 3.93 4.17
SBO 1.84 3.43 3.41
William Hill 1.83 3.60 3.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.83 ▼ -0.16
X 3.90 ▲ +0.20
2 3.91 ▲ +0.61

12 snapshots recorded, from .