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Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 26

Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps

0 – 3 Full time

9′B. White
29′T. Muller
49′T. Johnson
50′R. PrisoM. Laborda
52′J. Badwal
59′K. HenryS. Junqua
59′S. LobjanidzeD. Marczuk
59′N. Caliskan
62′E. SabbiR. Gauld
64′Y. Diaby
65′A. HezarkhaniT. Booth
65′C. GuskeE. Eneli
66′T. Blackmon
72′M. Guilavogui
73′S. SolansJ. Shokalook
80′T. JohnsonS. Adekugbe
81′B. WhiteR. Elloumi
81′Y. Diaby
87′Y. DiabyB. Caicedo
90′E. Ocampo

America First Field, SandyReferee: G. Gonzales

Real Salt Lake 25%
Draw 24%
Vancouver Whitecaps 51%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 21
3 Shots on target 6
48 Possession % 52
6 Corners 7
13 Fouls 14
3 Offsides 0
3 Saves 3
382 Accurate passes 403

Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityReal Salt LakeDrawVancouver Whitecaps
Model25.4%26.2%48.4%
Market24.4%23.7%51.8%
Final24.7%24.3%51.0%
Edge+0.9%+2.5%-3.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Vancouver Whitecaps

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 1.17.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Real Salt Lake ↓ / Vancouver Whit → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 8% 1 12% 10% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

Real Salt Lake and Vancouver Whitecaps expected goals

Real Salt Lake 1.17
Vancouver Whitecaps 1.70

Total expected goals: 2.87

Real Salt Lake and Vancouver Whitecaps attack and defence ratings

Real Salt Lake

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Vancouver Whitecaps

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 0.82 -18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps: result vs prediction

Real Salt Lake 0 – 3 Vancouver Whitecaps

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 26 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Vancouver Whitecaps 51.0% 1.96 -3.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.8% 1.83 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.6% 1.74 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.7% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.5% 1.94 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Real Salt Lake24.7%
Draw24.3%
Vancouver Whitecaps51.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.8%
Under 2.545.2%
Both teams to scoreYes57.6%
No42.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)49.0%
12 (either side)75.7%
X2 (draw or away)75.3%
Handicap -1Vancouver Whitecaps win26.7%
Push (exactly one goal)21.8%
Loss51.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.4%
1-29.6%
0-18.5%

Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps stats

Real Salt Lake and Vancouver Whitecaps recent form

newest first
Real Salt Lake LLDLLL
Vancouver Whitecaps LWLWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Real Salt Lake and Vancouver Whitecaps going into this match

league record before kick-off

Real Salt Lake record

  • They have won 8 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Vancouver Whitecaps record

  • They have won 14 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Real Salt Lake wins 1Draws 5Vancouver Whitecaps wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-22Vancouver WhitecapsReal Salt LakeMajor League Soccer1-0
2025-05-25Real Salt LakeVancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer2-3
2025-05-04Vancouver WhitecapsReal Salt LakeMajor League Soccer2-1
2024-10-20Real Salt LakeVancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer2-1
2024-03-23Vancouver WhitecapsReal Salt LakeMajor League Soccer1-2
2023-09-24Real Salt LakeVancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer2-1
2023-02-26Vancouver WhitecapsReal Salt LakeMajor League Soccer1-2
2022-08-21Real Salt LakeVancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer1-1
2022-06-04Vancouver WhitecapsReal Salt LakeMajor League Soccer2-1
2021-08-30Vancouver WhitecapsReal Salt LakeMajor League Soccer4-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 24.8%, draw 23.6%, away 51.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
Bet365 3.90 4.10 1.83
BetVictor 3.80 4.00 1.80
Betano 3.80 4.00 1.87
Betfair 3.75 4.00 1.87
Marathonbet 3.88 3.86 1.79
Pinnacle 3.96 4.12 1.83
SBO 3.11 3.34 1.89
William Hill 3.70 3.70 1.83

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.88 ▼ -0.17
X 4.00 ▲ +0.10
2 1.83 ▲ +0.08

12 snapshots recorded, from .