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Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 26

New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC

4 – 2 Full time

14′B. Raines
19′C. Gil
46′Luis OtavioE. Atuesta
46′T. SpicerZ. Taifi
47′W. Sands
59′P. Miller
62′I. Angulo
71′J. YueillI. Feingold
71′M. PasalicD. Dike
77′B. RheinH. Sarajian
80′I. Feingold
88′M. Ojeda
89′D. GazdagD. Fagundez
90′P. Miller
90′P. Miller
90′J. GerbetTiago
90′C. Gil
90′D. TurgemanW. Harris
90′M. PolsterJ. Wynder

Gillette Stadium, BostonReferee: S. Boiko

New England Revolution 52%
Draw 23%
Orlando City SC 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

17 Shots 11
9 Shots on target 5
51 Possession % 49
10 Corners 3
7 Fouls 5
4 Offsides 0
3 Saves 5
422 Accurate passes 393

New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNew England RevolutionDrawOrlando City SC
Model42.3%25.7%32.0%
Market54.9%21.9%23.2%
Final51.7%22.9%25.4%
Edge-12.6%+3.8%+8.9%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

New England Re ↓ / Orlando City S → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 12% 8% 2 6% 9% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 5%

New England Revolution and Orlando City SC expected goals

New England Revolution 1.68
Orlando City SC 1.44

Total expected goals: 3.13

New England Revolution and Orlando City SC attack and defence ratings

New England Revolution

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Orlando City SC

Attack 1.25 +25%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC: result vs prediction

New England Revolution 4 – 2 Orlando City SC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 26 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 New England Revolution 51.7% 1.93 -12.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.5% 1.65 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.3% 1.58 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 77.1% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.7% 1.73 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2New England Revolution51.7%
Draw22.9%
Orlando City SC25.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.5%
Under 2.539.5%
Both teams to scoreYes63.3%
No36.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.6%
12 (either side)77.1%
X2 (draw or away)48.3%
Handicap -1New England Revolution win22.5%
Push (exactly one goal)19.7%
Loss57.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.7%
2-19.0%
1-27.7%

New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC stats

New England Revolution and Orlando City SC recent form

newest first
New England Revolution WWLWDW
Orlando City SC WWWWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

New England Revolution and Orlando City SC going into this match

league record before kick-off

New England Revolution record

  • They have won 13 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).

Orlando City SC record

  • They have won 10 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 25 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3New England Revolution wins 1Draws 6Orlando City SC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-29New England RevolutionOrlando City SCUS Open Cup3-4
2025-07-19New England RevolutionOrlando City SCMajor League Soccer1-2
2025-05-10Orlando City SCNew England RevolutionMajor League Soccer3-3
2024-09-14Orlando City SCNew England RevolutionMajor League Soccer3-0
2024-07-13New England RevolutionOrlando City SCMajor League Soccer1-3
2024-02-11Orlando City SCNew England RevolutionFriendlies Clubs3-1
2023-10-07Orlando City SCNew England RevolutionMajor League Soccer3-2
2023-06-17New England RevolutionOrlando City SCMajor League Soccer3-1
2023-02-19Orlando City SCNew England RevolutionFriendlies Clubs1-2
2022-08-06Orlando City SCNew England RevolutionMajor League Soccer0-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 51.8%, draw 22.6%, away 25.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
Bet365 1.73 4.33 4.10
BetVictor 1.83 4.10 3.60
Betano 1.88 4.10 3.65
Betfair 1.83 4.33 3.70
Marathonbet 1.72 4.20 3.92
Pinnacle 1.76 4.35 4.11
William Hill 1.85 3.80 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.73 ▼ -0.15
X 4.33 ▲ +0.36
2 4.10 ▲ +0.67

12 snapshots recorded, from .