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Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 26

San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC

2 – 2 Full time

34′Son Heung-Min
37′A. Long
46′D. MunieVitor Costa
46′J. RickettsP. Judd
46′A. SiebNkosi Tafari
53′D. Bouanga
62′O. BoudaT. Werner
62′B. KikanovicP. Marie
66′P. Judd
70′P. Judd
73′M. Delgado
75′S. Palencia
78′R. VieiraJ. Skahan
79′M. ChoiniereT. Boyd
86′D. BouangaJ. Shaffelburg
90′Son Heung-MinJ. Ebobisse
90′N. Tsakiris
90′R. Roberts

PayPal Park, San Francisco Bay AreaReferee: D. Fischer

San Jose Earthquakes 30%
Draw 26%
Los Angeles FC 44%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

21 Shots 3
9 Shots on target 2
69 Possession % 31
15 Corners 3
8 Fouls 7
0 Offsides 1
0 Saves 7
565 Accurate passes 227

San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySan Jose EarthquakesDrawLos Angeles FC
Model27.9%30.0%42.1%
Market30.8%25.0%44.2%
Final30.1%26.2%43.7%
Edge-3.0%+5.0%-2.0%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

San Jose Earth ↓ / Los Angeles FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 11% 8% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 43%
No goals 11%

San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles FC expected goals

San Jose Earthquakes 1.04
Los Angeles FC 1.34

Total expected goals: 2.38

San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles FC attack and defence ratings

San Jose Earthquakes

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Los Angeles FC

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 0.73 -27%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC: result vs prediction

San Jose Earthquakes 2 – 2 Los Angeles FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 26 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Los Angeles FC 43.7% 2.29 -2.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57.4% 1.74 — —
Both teams to score No 50.9% 1.97 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.8% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.9% 1.73 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2San Jose Earthquakes30.1%
Draw26.2%
Los Angeles FC43.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.6%
Under 2.557.4%
Both teams to scoreYes49.1%
No50.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)56.3%
12 (either side)73.8%
X2 (draw or away)69.9%
Handicap -1Los Angeles FC win20.2%
Push (exactly one goal)22.0%
Loss57.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.2%
0-111.1%
0-010.5%

San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC stats

San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles FC recent form

newest first
San Jose Earthquakes WWDDLL
Los Angeles FC LWDDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

San Jose Earthquakes record

  • They have won 12 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 7 penalties (57%).
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Los Angeles FC record

  • They have won 11 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

2San Jose Earthquakes wins 2Draws 5Los Angeles FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-19Los Angeles FCSan Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer1-4
2025-09-14San Jose EarthquakesLos Angeles FCMajor League Soccer2-4
2025-04-13Los Angeles FCSan Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer2-1
2025-01-25Los Angeles FCSan Jose EarthquakesFriendlies Clubs1-1
2024-10-20Los Angeles FCSan Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer3-1
2024-08-14Los Angeles FCSan Jose EarthquakesLeagues Cup4-1
2024-06-23Los Angeles FCSan Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer6-2
2024-05-04San Jose EarthquakesLos Angeles FCMajor League Soccer3-1
2023-07-09Los Angeles FCSan Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.8%, draw 24.7%, away 43.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
Bet365 3.10 3.80 2.15
BetVictor 2.90 3.80 2.15
Betano 3.00 3.75 2.22
Betfair 2.88 3.90 2.20
Marathonbet 2.98 3.76 2.11
Pinnacle 3.08 4.00 2.15
SBO 2.54 3.22 2.24
William Hill 2.88 3.60 2.15

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.08 ▲ +0.13
X 3.80 ▲ +0.08
2 2.15 —

13 snapshots recorded, from .