Garuda Lions
Today
Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 25

Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC

3 – 1 Full time

18′André Luiz
19′Sergi Palencia
31′Taylor Calheira
44′Kwaku Agyabeng
45′Igor JesusMarky Delgado
45′Jude TerryJacob Shaffelburg
47′Denis Bouanga
61′Kwaku AgyabengJacob Bartlett
67′Sergi PalenciaRyan Hollingshead
67′Armindo SiebTyler Boyd
71′Jacob Bartlett
80′Evgen Cheberko
81′Evgen CheberkoJeremy Ebobisse
82′Calvin Harris
85′Stephen AfrifaSeymour Garfield-Reid
85′André LuizShapi Suleymanov
87′Calvin HarrisJayden Reid

Children's Mercy Park, Kansas CityReferee: Chris Penso, USA

Sporting Kansas City 20%
Draw 24%
Los Angeles FC 56%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

20 Shots 22
8 Shots on target 8
43 Possession % 57
6 Corners 13
6 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 3
7 Saves 6
331 Accurate passes 464

Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySporting Kansas CityDrawLos Angeles FC
Model16.6%25.5%58.0%
Market21.4%23.1%55.4%
Final20.2%23.7%56.1%
Edge-4.9%+2.3%+2.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Los Angeles FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 0.84.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Los Angeles FC below the model: +2.6 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sporting Kansa ↓ / Los Angeles FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 12% 12% 7% 1 12% 10% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Sporting Kansas City and Los Angeles FC expected goals

Sporting Kansas City 0.84
Los Angeles FC 1.75

Total expected goals: 2.59

Sporting Kansas City and Los Angeles FC attack and defence ratings

Sporting Kansas City

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 1.47 +47%

Los Angeles FC

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 0.62 -38%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC: result vs prediction

Sporting Kansas City 3 – 1 Los Angeles FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 25 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Los Angeles FC 56.1% 1.78 +2.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.0% 1.92 — —
Both teams to score No 51.9% 1.93 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 79.8% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 42.0% 2.38 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sporting Kansas City20.2%
Draw23.7%
Los Angeles FC56.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.0%
Under 2.552.0%
Both teams to scoreYes48.1%
No51.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)43.9%
12 (either side)76.3%
X2 (draw or away)79.8%
Handicap -1Los Angeles FC win33.6%
Push (exactly one goal)24.3%
Loss42.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.1%
0-112.0%
0-211.5%

Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC stats

Sporting Kansas City and Los Angeles FC recent form

newest first
Sporting Kansas City LLLDLL
Los Angeles FC WDDDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sporting Kansas City and Los Angeles FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sporting Kansas City record

  • They have won 4 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 23 matches.

Los Angeles FC record

  • They have won 11 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

0Sporting Kansas City wins 2Draws 8Los Angeles FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-26Los Angeles FCSporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer4-0
2025-06-09Los Angeles FCSporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer3-1
2025-03-23Sporting Kansas CityLos Angeles FCMajor League Soccer0-2
2024-10-06Sporting Kansas CityLos Angeles FCMajor League Soccer0-3
2024-09-26Los Angeles FCSporting Kansas CityUS Open Cup3-1
2024-03-10Los Angeles FCSporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer0-0
2023-06-18Sporting Kansas CityLos Angeles FCMajor League Soccer1-2
2023-05-18Los Angeles FCSporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer1-1
2022-07-24Sporting Kansas CityLos Angeles FCMajor League Soccer0-2
2022-04-17Los Angeles FCSporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 20.9%, draw 22.8%, away 56.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 5.00 4.30 1.58
888Sport 4.60 4.00 1.60
Bet365 4.75 3.90 1.70
BetVictor 4.40 4.10 1.67
Betano 4.75 4.25 1.72
Betfair 4.33 4.00 1.73
Dafabet 5.00 4.50 1.62
Marathonbet 4.40 4.15 1.66
Pinnacle 4.34 4.37 1.71
SBO 4.05 3.77 1.68
Unibet 5.10 4.40 1.54
William Hill 4.20 4.00 1.67

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.37 ▼ -0.25
X 4.05 ▼ -0.10
2 1.69 ▲ +0.09

12 snapshots recorded, from .