Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 25

FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers

2 – 1 Full time

45′Logan Farrington
47′Kaick da Silva Ferreira
56′Julio Joao Ortiz LandazuriAriel Lassiter
63′Ran BinyaminHerman Johansson
63′Santiago MorenoChristian Cappis
64′Omir FernandezGage Guerra
77′Logan FarringtonPetar Musa
77′RamiroPatrickson Delgado
82′Ian SmithKamal Miller
87′Joaquín Valiente Cioli
88′Bernard KamungoLalas Abubakar
90′Ariel Lassiter

Toyota Stadium, FriscoReferee: Tim Ford, USA

FC Dallas 50%
Draw 22%
Portland Timbers 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 4
39 Possession % 61
7 Corners 5
13 Fouls 4
1 Offsides 3
3 Saves 3
288 Accurate passes 482

FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC DallasDrawPortland Timbers
Model43.7%19.4%37.0%
Market52.5%22.8%24.7%
Final50.3%21.9%27.8%
Edge-8.8%-3.4%+12.3%

Confidence: Low

Why FC Dallas

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Dallas ↓ / Portland Timbe → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 5% 4% 4% 2 6% 7% 5% 5% 3 5% 6% 4% 5% 4+ 6% 7% 5% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 96%
3+ goals 87%
No goals 1%

FC Dallas and Portland Timbers expected goals

FC Dallas 2.55
Portland Timbers 2.36

Total expected goals: 4.91

FC Dallas and Portland Timbers attack and defence ratings

FC Dallas

Attack 1.23 +23%
Defence 1.25 +25%

Portland Timbers

Attack 1.39 +39%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers: result vs prediction

FC Dallas 2 – 1 Portland Timbers

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 25 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Dallas 50.3% 1.99 -8.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 86.8% 1.15 — —
Both teams to score Yes 84.0% 1.19 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 78.1% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.3% 1.78 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Dallas50.3%
Draw21.9%
Portland Timbers27.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.586.8%
Under 2.513.2%
Both teams to scoreYes84.0%
No16.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.2%
12 (either side)78.1%
X2 (draw or away)49.7%
Handicap -1FC Dallas win27.0%
Push (exactly one goal)16.7%
Loss56.3%
Correct score (top 3)2-26.7%
3-25.7%
2-15.7%

FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers stats

FC Dallas and Portland Timbers recent form

newest first
FC Dallas WWDLWW
Portland Timbers DWLDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Dallas and Portland Timbers going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Dallas record

  • They have won 11 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 24 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).

Portland Timbers record

  • They have won 9 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 24 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3FC Dallas wins 5Draws 2Portland Timbers wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-23Portland TimbersFC DallasMajor League Soccer2-2
2025-09-28Portland TimbersFC DallasMajor League Soccer2-2
2025-08-10FC DallasPortland TimbersMajor League Soccer2-0
2024-10-06Portland TimbersFC DallasMajor League Soccer0-0
2024-07-05FC DallasPortland TimbersMajor League Soccer3-2
2023-06-12Portland TimbersFC DallasMajor League Soccer1-0
2023-04-02FC DallasPortland TimbersMajor League Soccer1-1
2022-08-07Portland TimbersFC DallasMajor League Soccer1-1
2022-03-20FC DallasPortland TimbersMajor League Soccer4-1
2021-07-18Portland TimbersFC DallasMajor League Soccer1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 52.7%, draw 22.7%, away 24.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.81 4.30 3.55
888Sport 1.75 4.00 3.60
Bet365 1.80 4.00 4.00
BetVictor 1.75 4.20 3.75
Betano 1.85 4.25 4.00
Betfair 1.80 4.10 3.90
Dafabet 1.78 4.30 4.10
Marathonbet 1.77 4.20 3.72
Pinnacle 1.82 4.21 3.92
SBO 1.78 3.81 3.50
Unibet 1.75 4.10 3.90
William Hill 1.80 3.90 3.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.80 ▲ +0.05
X 4.15 ▲ +0.05
2 3.83 ▲ +0.08

12 snapshots recorded, from .