Major League Soccer
·
Full time
·Matchday 25
DC United
vs
Atlanta United FC
0 – 0 Full time
| 36′ | Mauricio Federico Amaro Viega | ||
| 56′ | Nathan OrdazJared Stroud | ||
| 56′ | Silvan HeftiJackson Hopkins | ||
| 56′ | Brandon ServaniaMatti Peltola | ||
| 57′ | Mauricio Federico Amaro ViegaAdrian Gill | ||
| 57′ | Ajani FortuneTristan Muyumba | ||
| 57′ | Junior AlonsoMatthew Edwards | ||
| 62′ | Tristan Muyumba | ||
| 68′ | Kye Rowles | ||
| 70′ | Kimito Nono | ||
| 71′ | Jared Stroud | ||
| 73′ | Miguel AlmirónFafà Picault | ||
| 82′ | Andre DozzellNikola Marković | ||
| 87′ | Cooper SanchezLuke Brennan | ||
| 89′ | Louis MunteanuHosei Kijima |
DC United
45%
Draw
25%
Atlanta United FC
30%
Match stats
| 4 | Shots | 19 |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 30 | Possession % | 70 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 0 |
| 197 | Accurate passes | 560 |
DC United vs Atlanta United FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: DC United vs Atlanta United FC
| Probability | DC United | Draw | Atlanta United FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.8% | 23.2% | 26.0% |
| Market | 42.8% | 25.5% | 31.7% |
| Final | 44.8% | 24.9% | 30.3% |
| Edge | +8.0% | -2.2% | -5.7% |
Why DC United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.04 vs 1.43.
- The market prices DC United below the model: +8.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
87%
3+ goals
67%
No goals
4%
DC United and Atlanta United FC expected goals
DC United
2.04
Atlanta United FC
1.43
Total expected goals: 3.46
DC United and Atlanta United FC attack and defence ratings
DC United
Attack
0.95 -5%
Defence
1.08 +8%
Atlanta United FC
Attack
0.96 -4%
Defence
1.23 +23%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
DC United vs Atlanta United FC: result vs prediction
DC United 0 – 0 Atlanta United FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
- Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC — team news & stats
- Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls
- FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte — team news & stats
- Inter Miami vs Nashville SC
- FC Dallas v Portland Timbers — match page
- Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC — team news & stats
- St. Louis City vs Minnesota United FC
- Real Salt Lake v New York City FC — match page
Before and after this match
DC United vs Atlanta United FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | DC United | 44.8% | 2.23 | +8.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | DC United | 44.8% |
| Draw | 24.9% | |
| Atlanta United FC | 30.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.9% |
| No | 33.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | DC United win | 30.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 49.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 2-2 | 6.6% |
DC United vs Atlanta United FC stats
DC United and Atlanta United FC recent form
| DC United |
WDLLDD |
| Atlanta United FC |
LDLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
DC United and Atlanta United FC going into this match
DC United record
- They have won 6 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 23 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atlanta United FC record
- They have won 6 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
DC United vs Atlanta United FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
1DC United wins
5Draws
4Atlanta United FC wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Atlanta United FC | DC United | Major League Soccer | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Atlanta United FC | DC United | Major League Soccer | 1-1 |
| 2025-07-05 | DC United | Atlanta United FC | Major League Soccer | 0-0 |
| 2024-07-27 | Atlanta United FC | DC United | Leagues Cup | 3-3 |
| 2024-06-19 | DC United | Atlanta United FC | Major League Soccer | 0-1 |
| 2024-05-11 | Atlanta United FC | DC United | Major League Soccer | 2-3 |
| 2023-09-20 | DC United | Atlanta United FC | Major League Soccer | 1-1 |
| 2023-06-10 | Atlanta United FC | DC United | Major League Soccer | 3-1 |
| 2022-08-28 | Atlanta United FC | DC United | Major League Soccer | 3-2 |
| 2022-04-03 | DC United | Atlanta United FC | Major League Soccer | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
DC United vs Atlanta United FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.2%, draw 25.4%, away 31.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.02 | 3.70 | 3.30 |
| 888Sport | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.75 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.70 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.70 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.14 | 3.75 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 2.16 | 3.70 | 2.95 |
| Pinnacle | 2.19 | 3.90 | 3.06 |
| SBO | 2.23 | 3.31 | 2.78 |
| Unibet | 2.07 | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.50 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.20 ▲ +0.10
X
3.70 ▲ +0.05
2
2.98 ▼ -0.12
10 snapshots recorded, from .