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Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 24

DC United vs Columbus Crew

2 – 1 Full time

12′T. Karumanchi
19′C. Ruvalcaba
19′Peglow
24′T. Baribo
38′T. Baribo
46′T. HabrouneB. Mendez
46′C. RuvalcabaS. Moreira
46′J. HopkinsM. Peltola
49′S. Rodriguez
57′K. Rowles
60′J. MartinezG. Tapia
70′D. ChambostA. Gomes
70′L. MunteanuN. Ordaz
77′T. BariboB. Servania
81′S. RodriguezJ. Thiare
90′PeglowS. Nealis
90′S. Johnson

Audi Field, WashingtonReferee: Muhammad Kaleia, USA

DC United 38%
Draw 27%
Columbus Crew 36%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 4
28 Possession % 72
3 Corners 5
8 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 1
3 Saves 3
210 Accurate passes 664

DC United vs Columbus Crew overview

Garuda Lions analysis: DC United vs Columbus Crew

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDC UnitedDrawColumbus Crew
Model39.4%25.8%34.7%
Market37.3%26.7%36.0%
Final37.8%26.5%35.7%
Edge+2.1%-0.9%-1.3%

Confidence: Low

Why DC United

  • The market prices DC United below the model: +2.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

DC United ↓ / Columbus Crew → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 12% 8% 2 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 5%

DC United and Columbus Crew expected goals

DC United 1.62
Columbus Crew 1.51

Total expected goals: 3.13

DC United and Columbus Crew attack and defence ratings

DC United

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Columbus Crew

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

DC United vs Columbus Crew: result vs prediction

DC United 2 – 1 Columbus Crew

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 24 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

DC United vs Columbus Crew markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 DC United 37.8% 2.64 +2.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.5% 1.65 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.5% 1.57 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.5% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.6% 1.65 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2DC United37.8%
Draw26.5%
Columbus Crew35.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.5%
Under 2.539.5%
Both teams to scoreYes63.5%
No36.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)64.3%
12 (either side)73.5%
X2 (draw or away)62.2%
Handicap -1DC United win20.4%
Push (exactly one goal)19.0%
Loss60.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.8%
2-18.7%
1-28.1%

DC United vs Columbus Crew stats

DC United and Columbus Crew recent form

newest first
DC United DLLDDW
Columbus Crew WLLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

DC United and Columbus Crew going into this match

league record before kick-off

DC United record

  • They have won 5 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 22 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Columbus Crew record

  • They have won 6 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 23 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

DC United vs Columbus Crew head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1DC United wins 3Draws 6Columbus Crew wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-07-19Columbus CrewDC UnitedMajor League Soccer2-1
2025-03-29DC UnitedColumbus CrewMajor League Soccer1-2
2024-09-28DC UnitedColumbus CrewMajor League Soccer2-2
2024-04-06Columbus CrewDC UnitedMajor League Soccer1-1
2023-04-08DC UnitedColumbus CrewMajor League Soccer0-2
2023-03-05Columbus CrewDC UnitedMajor League Soccer2-0
2022-07-14DC UnitedColumbus CrewMajor League Soccer2-2
2022-04-30Columbus CrewDC UnitedMajor League Soccer3-0
2021-10-31DC UnitedColumbus CrewMajor League Soccer1-3
2021-08-04Columbus CrewDC UnitedMajor League Soccer2-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

DC United vs Columbus Crew odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.3%, draw 26.7%, away 36.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.50 3.60 2.55
888Sport 2.50 3.30 2.50
Bet365 2.55 3.50 2.62
BetVictor 2.50 3.50 2.60
Betano 2.67 3.55 2.55
Betfair 2.60 3.50 2.60
Dafabet 2.60 3.55 2.65
Marathonbet 2.47 3.50 2.62
Pinnacle 2.50 3.62 2.76
SBO 2.51 3.25 2.48
Superbet 2.57 3.55 2.62
Unibet 2.55 3.55 2.50
William Hill 2.50 3.30 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.51 ▲ +0.11
X 3.50 ▼ -0.02
2 2.60 ▼ -0.04

17 snapshots recorded, from .