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Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 24

New York City FC vs New England Revolution

1 – 2 Full time

12′C. Gil
18′A. Yusuf
19′A. YusufJ. Yueill
31′M. Polster
63′A. OjedaLuighi
63′A. O'NeillH. Wolf
71′Luighi
72′M. PolsterI. Feingold
72′D. TurgemanD. Gazdag
80′J. HarrisonW. Harris
80′P. MillerL. Langoni
89′B. TraoreM. Jones
90′D. Gazdag
90′W. SandsT. Beason

Citi Field, New YorkReferee: Allen Chapman, USA

New York City FC 41%
Draw 27%
New England Revolution 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 6
66 Possession % 34
12 Corners 4
5 Fouls 10
3 Offsides 3
4 Saves 6
534 Accurate passes 252

New York City FC vs New England Revolution overview

Garuda Lions analysis: New York City FC vs New England Revolution

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNew York City FCDrawNew England Revolution
Model36.5%30.2%33.3%
Market42.7%26.3%31.0%
Final41.1%27.3%31.6%
Edge-6.2%+4.0%+2.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

New York City ↓ / New England Re → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 9% 1 10% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 43%
No goals 10%

New York City FC and New England Revolution expected goals

New York City FC 1.23
New England Revolution 1.17

Total expected goals: 2.40

New York City FC and New England Revolution attack and defence ratings

New York City FC

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 0.84 -16%

New England Revolution

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

New York City FC vs New England Revolution: result vs prediction

New York City FC 1 – 2 New England Revolution

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 24 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

New York City FC vs New England Revolution markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 New York City FC 41.1% 2.43 -6.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.9% 1.76 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.2% 1.99 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.7% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.5% 1.58 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2New York City FC41.1%
Draw27.3%
New England Revolution31.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.1%
Under 2.556.9%
Both teams to scoreYes50.2%
No49.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.4%
12 (either side)72.7%
X2 (draw or away)58.9%
Handicap -1New York City FC win16.4%
Push (exactly one goal)20.1%
Loss63.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.4%
0-010.4%
1-09.9%

New York City FC vs New England Revolution stats

New York City FC and New England Revolution recent form

newest first
New York City FC DDDLLL
New England Revolution LWDWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

New York City FC and New England Revolution going into this match

league record before kick-off

New York City FC record

  • They have won 7 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 23 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

New England Revolution record

  • They have won 11 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 23 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).

New York City FC vs New England Revolution head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4New York City FC wins 4Draws 2New England Revolution wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-23New England RevolutionNew York City FCMajor League Soccer1-1
2025-04-19New England RevolutionNew York City FCMajor League Soccer2-0
2025-03-15New York City FCNew England RevolutionMajor League Soccer2-1
2024-08-09New England RevolutionNew York City FCLeagues Cup1-1
2024-05-25New England RevolutionNew York City FCMajor League Soccer0-1
2024-04-13New York City FCNew England RevolutionMajor League Soccer2-0
2023-06-03New York City FCNew England RevolutionMajor League Soccer0-0
2023-04-01New England RevolutionNew York City FCMajor League Soccer1-1
2022-09-05New England RevolutionNew York City FCMajor League Soccer3-0
2022-07-09New York City FCNew England RevolutionMajor League Soccer4-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

New York City FC vs New England Revolution odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.7%, draw 26.3%, away 31.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.12 3.65 3.10
888Sport 2.15 3.40 3.00
Bet365 2.20 3.60 3.10
BetVictor 2.20 3.60 3.00
Betano 2.25 3.65 3.00
Betfair 2.20 3.50 3.00
Dafabet 2.27 3.60 3.10
Marathonbet 2.20 3.54 2.99
Pinnacle 2.27 3.70 3.05
Superbet 2.25 3.55 3.05
Unibet 2.23 3.25 3.15
William Hill 2.15 3.40 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.20 ▲ +0.15
X 3.58 ▼ -0.10
2 3.02 ▼ -0.24

17 snapshots recorded, from .