Major League Soccer
·
Full time
·Matchday 24
CF Montreal
vs
Charlotte
1 – 2 Full time
| 28′ | A. GoodwinI. Toklomati | ||
| 34′ | D. Rios | ||
| 37′ | L. Abada | ||
| 45′ | V. Loturi | ||
| 64′ | W. CarmonaG. Synchuk | ||
| 65′ | D. SealyN. Streit | ||
| 68′ | L. de la TorreB. Bronico | ||
| 68′ | L. AbadaR. Aloko | ||
| 68′ | D. Schnegg | ||
| 75′ | B. CeballosD. Bugaj | ||
| 81′ | M. Longstaff | ||
| 81′ | I. Toklomati | ||
| 86′ | D. RiosO. Graham-Roache | ||
| 86′ | B. VeraE. Morales | ||
| 88′ | A. Saint-MaximinM. Agyemang |
CF Montreal
34%
Draw
24%
Charlotte
41%
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 58 | Possession % | 42 |
| 11 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Offsides | 4 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 489 | Accurate passes | 347 |
CF Montreal vs Charlotte overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CF Montreal vs Charlotte
| Probability | CF Montreal | Draw | Charlotte |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15.6% | 22.9% | 61.4% |
| Market | 40.6% | 24.9% | 34.5% |
| Final | 34.4% | 24.4% | 41.2% |
| Edge | -25.0% | -2.0% | +27.0% |
Why Charlotte
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 0.92.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Charlotte below the model: +27.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
80%
3+ goals
56%
No goals
6%
CF Montreal and Charlotte expected goals
CF Montreal
0.92
Charlotte
2.00
Total expected goals: 2.92
CF Montreal and Charlotte attack and defence ratings
CF Montreal
Attack
0.80 -20%
Defence
1.30 +30%
Charlotte
Attack
1.13 +13%
Defence
0.67 -33%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
CF Montreal vs Charlotte: result vs prediction
CF Montreal 1 – 2 Charlotte
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 24 fixtures
- Toronto FC v Nashville SC — match page
- Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC
- DC United vs Columbus Crew — team news & stats
- Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati
- New York City FC vs New England Revolution — team news & stats
- Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake
- Chicago Fire v Inter Miami — match page
- Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas — team news & stats
Before and after this match
CF Montreal vs Charlotte markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Charlotte | 41.2% | 2.43 | +27.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CF Montreal | 34.4% |
| Draw | 24.4% | |
| Charlotte | 41.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.1% |
| No | 46.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Charlotte win | 38.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 38.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.9% |
| 0-2 | 10.8% | |
| 1-2 | 9.9% |
CF Montreal vs Charlotte stats
CF Montreal and Charlotte recent form
| CF Montreal |
LLDWDD |
| Charlotte |
DWWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CF Montreal and Charlotte going into this match
CF Montreal record
- They have won 5 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 23 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Charlotte record
- They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 23 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CF Montreal vs Charlotte head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
5CF Montreal wins
1Draws
2Charlotte wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-27 | Charlotte | CF Montreal | Major League Soccer | 1-4 |
| 2025-04-12 | CF Montreal | Charlotte | Major League Soccer | 0-1 |
| 2024-10-05 | Charlotte | CF Montreal | Major League Soccer | 2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 | CF Montreal | Charlotte | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
| 2023-07-15 | CF Montreal | Charlotte | Major League Soccer | 2-0 |
| 2023-06-24 | Charlotte | CF Montreal | Major League Soccer | 0-0 |
| 2022-06-25 | CF Montreal | Charlotte | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
| 2022-05-14 | Charlotte | CF Montreal | Major League Soccer | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
CF Montreal vs Charlotte odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.6%, draw 24.9%, away 34.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.28 | 3.80 | 2.70 |
| 888Sport | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.70 |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.90 | 2.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.75 | 2.70 |
| Betano | 2.40 | 3.75 | 2.75 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.38 | 3.85 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.31 | 3.70 | 2.71 |
| Pinnacle | 2.38 | 3.94 | 2.74 |
| SBO | 2.28 | 3.48 | 2.61 |
| Superbet | 2.37 | 3.75 | 2.75 |
| Unibet | 2.28 | 3.65 | 2.80 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.30 ▼ -0.02
X
3.75 ▲ +0.05
2
2.71 ▼ -0.01
17 snapshots recorded, from .