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Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 25

Colorado Rapids vs CF Montreal

1 – 0 Full time

43′Paxten Aaronson
54′Donavan PhillipMorgan Whittaker
54′Darren YapiSayd Abu Farhi
58′Wikelman·CarmonaAlexis Sanchez
59′Viktor RadojevićLuca Petrasso
59′Prince-Osei OwusuDaniel Rios
68′Joshua AtencioWayne Frederick
76′Samuel PietteFabian Herbers
81′Dante Sealy
82′Noah StreitOlger Escobar
83′Hamzat OjediranNoah Cobb
83′Keegan RosenberryKosi Thompson
85′Kosi Thompson
90′Wayne Frederick

Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Trade CityReferee: Drew Fischer, Canada

Colorado Rapids 55%
Draw 25%
CF Montreal 20%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 5
58 Possession % 42
5 Corners 1
13 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 3
5 Saves 6
484 Accurate passes 319

Colorado Rapids vs CF Montreal overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Colorado Rapids vs CF Montreal

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityColorado RapidsDrawCF Montreal
Model50.6%29.4%20.1%
Market57.1%23.0%19.9%
Final55.5%24.6%20.0%
Edge-6.5%+6.4%+0.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Colorado Rapids

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.44 vs 0.82.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Colorado Rapid ↓ / CF Montreal → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 7% 1 14% 14% 2 11% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

Colorado Rapids and CF Montreal expected goals

Colorado Rapids 1.44
CF Montreal 0.82

Total expected goals: 2.26

Colorado Rapids and CF Montreal attack and defence ratings

Colorado Rapids

Attack 0.63 -37%
Defence 0.75 -25%

CF Montreal

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 1.31 +31%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Colorado Rapids vs CF Montreal: result vs prediction

Colorado Rapids 1 – 0 CF Montreal

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 25 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

Colorado Rapids vs CF Montreal markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Colorado Rapids 55.5% 1.80 -6.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.7% 1.65 — —
Both teams to score No 56.1% 1.78 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 80.0% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.4% 2.03 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Colorado Rapids55.5%
Draw24.6%
CF Montreal20.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.3%
Under 2.560.7%
Both teams to scoreYes43.9%
No56.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)80.0%
12 (either side)75.4%
X2 (draw or away)44.5%
Handicap -1Colorado Rapids win26.0%
Push (exactly one goal)24.6%
Loss49.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-013.8%
1-113.5%
0-011.7%

Colorado Rapids vs CF Montreal stats

Colorado Rapids and CF Montreal recent form

newest first
Colorado Rapids DLWLWW
CF Montreal LLLDWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Colorado Rapids and CF Montreal going into this match

league record before kick-off

Colorado Rapids record

  • They have won 10 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

CF Montreal record

  • They have won 5 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 24 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Colorado Rapids vs CF Montreal head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

6Colorado Rapids wins 1Draws 2CF Montreal wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-06-23Colorado RapidsCF MontrealMajor League Soccer4-1
2019-08-04Colorado RapidsCF MontrealMajor League Soccer6-3
2018-07-07CF MontrealColorado RapidsMajor League Soccer2-1
2017-10-01Colorado RapidsCF MontrealMajor League Soccer2-1
2016-04-30CF MontrealColorado RapidsMajor League Soccer2-2
2015-10-10Colorado RapidsCF MontrealMajor League Soccer0-1
2014-05-25Colorado RapidsCF MontrealMajor League Soccer4-1
2013-06-29CF MontrealColorado RapidsMajor League Soccer3-4
2012-05-27Colorado RapidsCF MontrealMajor League Soccer3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Colorado Rapids vs CF Montreal odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 56.7%, draw 23.1%, away 20.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.67 3.95 4.60
888Sport 1.62 3.90 4.50
Bet365 1.65 4.10 5.00
BetVictor 1.65 4.00 4.80
Betano 1.72 4.15 5.00
Betfair 1.65 4.20 4.60
Dafabet 1.64 4.30 5.00
Marathonbet 1.63 4.10 4.65
Pinnacle 1.66 4.26 4.87
SBO 1.61 3.79 4.49
Unibet 1.73 3.90 4.20
William Hill 1.67 3.80 4.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.65 ▲ +0.03
X 4.10 ▲ +0.15
2 4.72 ▲ +0.12

12 snapshots recorded, from .