US Open Cup · Full time ·Semi-finals

St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids

0 – 3 Full time

32′S. Jeong
38′D. Polvara
43′R. Cannon
44′M. Whittaker
52′S. Becher
58′P. Aaronson
59′A. Matan
62′H. OjediranS. Abu Farkhi
64′T. Totland
70′M. NavarroJ. Travis
70′G. MinoungouD. Phillip
70′R. CannonK. Rosenberry
78′S. JeongD. Downs
83′L. Williams
84′W. FrederickN. Cobb
84′A. MatanF. Fall

CITYPARKReferee: J. Dickerson

St. Louis City 61%
Draw 25%
Colorado Rapids 14%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids overview

Garuda Lions analysis: St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySt. Louis CityDrawColorado Rapids
Model60.7%25.1%14.2%
Market———
Final60.7%25.1%14.2%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why St. Louis City

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 0.74.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

St. Louis City ↓ / Colorado Rapid → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 13% 12% 2 13% 9% 3 7% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

St. Louis City and Colorado Rapids expected goals

St. Louis City 1.76
Colorado Rapids 0.74

Total expected goals: 2.50

St. Louis City and Colorado Rapids attack and defence ratings

St. Louis City

Attack 1.34 +34%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Colorado Rapids

Attack 0.63 -37%
Defence 0.66 -34%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids: result vs prediction

St. Louis City 0 – 3 Colorado Rapids

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Semi-finals fixtures

US Open Cup

Before and after this match

St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 St. Louis City 60.7% 1.65 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.3% 1.84 — —
Both teams to score No 55.6% 1.80 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 85.8% 1.17 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 39.2% 2.55 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2St. Louis City60.7%
Draw25.1%
Colorado Rapids14.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.7%
Under 2.554.3%
Both teams to scoreYes44.4%
No55.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)85.8%
12 (either side)74.9%
X2 (draw or away)39.3%
Handicap -1St. Louis City win35.7%
Push (exactly one goal)25.0%
Loss39.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-013.3%
2-012.7%
1-111.8%

St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids stats

St. Louis City and Colorado Rapids recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3St. Louis City wins 2Draws 3Colorado Rapids wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-26St. Louis CityColorado RapidsMajor League Soccer1-0
2026-05-10Colorado RapidsSt. Louis CityMajor League Soccer0-1
2025-05-25Colorado RapidsSt. Louis CityMajor League Soccer1-0
2025-02-23St. Louis CityColorado RapidsMajor League Soccer0-0
2024-07-08Colorado RapidsSt. Louis CityMajor League Soccer4-1
2024-06-20St. Louis CityColorado RapidsMajor League Soccer0-3
2023-07-02St. Louis CityColorado RapidsMajor League Soccer2-0
2023-04-23Colorado RapidsSt. Louis CityMajor League Soccer1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.3%, draw 26.7%, away 35.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.43 3.42 2.70
Bet365 2.50 3.60 2.40
BetVictor 2.40 3.50 2.55
Betano 2.40 3.45 2.70
Betfair 2.30 3.50 2.63
Marathonbet 2.43 3.42 2.70
Pinnacle 2.48 3.56 2.77
SBO 2.25 3.20 2.54
William Hill 2.30 3.10 2.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.40 ▲ +0.08
X 3.45 ▲ +0.05
2 2.63 ▼ -0.17

3 snapshots recorded, from .