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Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 26

Colorado Rapids vs Seattle Sounders

3 – 3 Full time

28′M. Whittaker
46′P. KingstonS. Gomez
49′C. Roldan
56′D. Phillip
61′S. HawkinsJ. Ragen
62′H. DotsonS. Brunell
64′S. Abu FarkhiD. Yapi
69′D. Phillip
72′NouhouP. Arriola
73′W. FrederickJ. Atencio
73′D. PhillipG. Minoungou
76′M. Whittaker
79′D. Yapi
79′D. Joveljic
84′J. MorrisC. Clark
84′P. AaronsonN. Cobb
90′C. Clark

Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Trade CityReferee: E. Arreguin

Colorado Rapids 52%
Draw 25%
Seattle Sounders 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 16
7 Shots on target 6
48 Possession % 52
4 Corners 6
17 Fouls 14
3 Offsides 2
3 Saves 4
337 Accurate passes 373

Colorado Rapids vs Seattle Sounders overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Colorado Rapids vs Seattle Sounders

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityColorado RapidsDrawSeattle Sounders
Model55.5%29.9%14.5%
Market50.4%23.9%25.6%
Final51.7%25.4%22.9%
Edge+5.1%+6.0%-11.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Colorado Rapids

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.39 vs 0.59.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Colorado Rapids below the model: +5.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Colorado Rapid ↓ / Seattle Sounde → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 1 18% 12% 2 13% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 60%
3+ goals 32%
No goals 15%

Colorado Rapids and Seattle Sounders expected goals

Colorado Rapids 1.39
Seattle Sounders 0.59

Total expected goals: 1.97

Colorado Rapids and Seattle Sounders attack and defence ratings

Colorado Rapids

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 0.63 -37%

Seattle Sounders

Attack 0.67 -33%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Colorado Rapids vs Seattle Sounders: result vs prediction

Colorado Rapids 3 – 3 Seattle Sounders

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 26 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

Colorado Rapids vs Seattle Sounders markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Colorado Rapids 51.7% 1.93 +5.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 68.4% 1.46 — —
Both teams to score No 65.6% 1.52 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.1% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 44.6% 2.24 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Colorado Rapids51.7%
Draw25.4%
Seattle Sounders22.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.531.6%
Under 2.568.4%
Both teams to scoreYes34.4%
No65.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.1%
12 (either side)74.6%
X2 (draw or away)48.3%
Handicap -1Colorado Rapids win28.3%
Push (exactly one goal)27.1%
Loss44.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-018.2%
0-015.0%
2-013.4%

Colorado Rapids vs Seattle Sounders stats

Colorado Rapids and Seattle Sounders recent form

newest first
Colorado Rapids WWDLWL
Seattle Sounders DDDDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Colorado Rapids and Seattle Sounders going into this match

league record before kick-off

Colorado Rapids record

  • They have won 11 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

Seattle Sounders record

  • They have won 7 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Colorado Rapids vs Seattle Sounders head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Colorado Rapids wins 4Draws 5Seattle Sounders wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-23Seattle SoundersColorado RapidsMajor League Soccer2-0
2025-07-17Seattle SoundersColorado RapidsMajor League Soccer3-3
2025-04-27Colorado RapidsSeattle SoundersMajor League Soccer1-1
2024-10-06Colorado RapidsSeattle SoundersMajor League Soccer0-1
2024-03-16Seattle SoundersColorado RapidsMajor League Soccer1-1
2023-09-21Colorado RapidsSeattle SoundersMajor League Soccer1-2
2023-02-27Seattle SoundersColorado RapidsMajor League Soccer4-0
2022-07-24Seattle SoundersColorado RapidsMajor League Soccer2-1
2022-05-23Colorado RapidsSeattle SoundersMajor League Soccer1-0
2021-10-21Colorado RapidsSeattle SoundersMajor League Soccer1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Colorado Rapids vs Seattle Sounders odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.3%, draw 24.3%, away 25.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
Bet365 1.85 4.10 3.60
BetVictor 1.85 3.75 3.80
Betano 1.87 4.00 3.80
Betfair 1.91 3.80 3.70
Marathonbet 1.84 3.90 3.64
Pinnacle 1.87 4.12 3.79
SBO 1.87 3.18 3.33
William Hill 1.85 3.70 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.85 ▼ -0.20
X 3.90 ▲ +0.07
2 3.64 ▲ +0.44

13 snapshots recorded, from .