Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 27

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids

3 – 2 Full time

4′Donavan Phillip
10′Keegan Rosenberry
31′Rob Holding
39′Paxten Aaronson
46′Pablo Ruiz
53′Joshua Atencio
53′Reggie Cannon
61′Lucas Felipe·CalegariMarco Reus
66′Klauss
67′Joshua AtencioHamzat Ojediran
74′Justin Haak
76′Keegan RosenberryDarren Yapi
76′Sergi RobertoLucas Agustin·Sanabria Magole
83′Rob HoldingNoah Cobb
83′Jackson TravisAlexander Dean Harris
84′Robert TaylorMaya Yoshida
84′KlaussKyogo Furuhashi

Dignity Health Sports Park, Los AngelesReferee: Armando Villarreal

Los Angeles Galaxy 40%
Draw 26%
Colorado Rapids 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 4
40 Possession % 60
5 Corners 6
13 Fouls 20
3 Offsides 1
2 Saves 5
291 Accurate passes 463

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Los Angeles Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLos Angeles GalaxyDrawColorado Rapids
Model30.3%29.9%39.8%
Market43.3%24.6%32.1%
Final40.1%25.9%34.0%
Edge-13.1%+5.4%+7.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Los Angeles Ga ↓ / Colorado Rapid → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 10% 8% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

Los Angeles Galaxy and Colorado Rapids expected goals

Los Angeles Galaxy 1.11
Colorado Rapids 1.31

Total expected goals: 2.42

Los Angeles Galaxy and Colorado Rapids attack and defence ratings

Los Angeles Galaxy

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Colorado Rapids

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 0.78 -22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids: result vs prediction

Los Angeles Galaxy 3 – 2 Colorado Rapids

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 27 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Los Angeles Galaxy 40.1% 2.50 -13.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.4% 1.77 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.3% 1.99 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.1% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 69.6% 1.44 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Los Angeles Galaxy40.1%
Draw25.9%
Colorado Rapids34.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.6%
Under 2.556.4%
Both teams to scoreYes50.3%
No49.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.0%
12 (either side)74.1%
X2 (draw or away)59.9%
Handicap -1Los Angeles Galaxy win12.6%
Push (exactly one goal)17.8%
Loss69.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.2%
0-110.3%
0-010.2%

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids stats

Los Angeles Galaxy and Colorado Rapids recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Los Angeles Galaxy and Colorado Rapids going into this match

league record before kick-off

Los Angeles Galaxy record

  • They have won 8 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 27 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Colorado Rapids record

  • They have won 11 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

5Los Angeles Galaxy wins 1Draws 3Colorado Rapids wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-08Colorado RapidsLos Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer4-1
2025-08-24Los Angeles GalaxyColorado RapidsMajor League Soccer3-0
2025-06-26Colorado RapidsLos Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer2-0
2024-11-02Colorado RapidsLos Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer1-4
2024-10-27Los Angeles GalaxyColorado RapidsMajor League Soccer5-0
2024-10-03Colorado RapidsLos Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer1-3
2024-07-18Los Angeles GalaxyColorado RapidsMajor League Soccer3-2
2023-06-25Colorado RapidsLos Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer0-0
2023-05-07Los Angeles GalaxyColorado RapidsMajor League Soccer1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.3%, draw 24.6%, away 32.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
Bet365 2.20 4.00 2.90
BetVictor 2.15 3.75 3.00
Betano 2.20 3.95 2.92
Betfair 2.15 3.80 3.00
Marathonbet 2.16 3.80 2.86
Pinnacle 2.23 3.95 2.96
SBO 2.15 3.46 2.81
William Hill 2.15 3.60 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.16 ▲ +0.01
X 3.80 ▲ +0.20
2 2.91 ▼ -0.05

18 snapshots recorded, from .