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Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 28

Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes

1 – 1 Full time

27′Donavan Phillip
44′Jack Jasinski
45′Loïc Williams Ntambue Kayumba Gironés
57′Dave Romney
59′Donavan PhillipGeorgi Minoungou
59′Timo WernerOusseni Bouda
59′Vitor CostaJamar Ricketts
73′Reggie CannonKeegan Rosenberry
73′Paul MarieNick Fernandez
74′Jack JasinskiMax Floriani
83′Sayd Abu FarhiDarren Yapi
83′Joshua AtencioIbrahim Sadiq
83′Georgi MinoungouHamzat Ojediran
90′Beau LerouxIan Harkes
90′Matthew Elliott Wells

Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Trade CityReferee: Filip Dujic

Colorado Rapids 51%
Draw 25%
San Jose Earthquakes 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 9
10 Shots on target 3
63 Possession % 37
6 Corners 3
16 Fouls 12
5 Offsides 7
2 Saves 9
376 Accurate passes 185

Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityColorado RapidsDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
Model51.4%25.1%23.4%
Market50.3%24.9%24.9%
Final50.6%24.9%24.5%
Edge+0.3%+0.1%-0.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Colorado Rapid ↓ / San Jose Earth → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 6% 1 7% 13% 8% 2 6% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

Colorado Rapids and San Jose Earthquakes expected goals

Colorado Rapids 1.54
San Jose Earthquakes 1.37

Total expected goals: 2.90

Colorado Rapids and San Jose Earthquakes attack and defence ratings

Colorado Rapids

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 1.03 +3%

San Jose Earthquakes

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes: result vs prediction

Colorado Rapids 1 – 1 San Jose Earthquakes

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 28 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Colorado Rapids 50.6% 1.98 +0.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57.6% 1.74 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.0% 1.70 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.5% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.8% 1.67 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Colorado Rapids50.6%
Draw24.9%
San Jose Earthquakes24.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557.6%
Under 2.542.4%
Both teams to scoreYes59.0%
No41.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.5%
12 (either side)75.1%
X2 (draw or away)49.4%
Handicap -1Colorado Rapids win20.4%
Push (exactly one goal)19.8%
Loss59.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.8%
2-19.7%
2-08.3%

Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes stats

Colorado Rapids and San Jose Earthquakes recent form

newest first
Colorado Rapids LDLWDL
San Jose Earthquakes WDWWDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Colorado Rapids and San Jose Earthquakes going into this match

league record before kick-off

Colorado Rapids record

  • They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

San Jose Earthquakes record

  • They have won 13 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 7 penalties (57%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Colorado Rapids wins 1Draws 4San Jose Earthquakes wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-21Colorado RapidsSan Jose EarthquakesUS Open Cup2-0
2025-05-11Colorado RapidsSan Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer0-2
2025-03-16San Jose EarthquakesColorado RapidsMajor League Soccer1-2
2024-05-12Colorado RapidsSan Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer2-3
2024-04-14San Jose EarthquakesColorado RapidsMajor League Soccer0-3
2023-06-04Colorado RapidsSan Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer0-0
2023-03-12San Jose EarthquakesColorado RapidsMajor League Soccer1-0
2022-09-15Colorado RapidsSan Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer2-1
2022-05-08San Jose EarthquakesColorado RapidsMajor League Soccer1-0
2021-09-05San Jose EarthquakesColorado RapidsMajor League Soccer0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.3%, draw 24.9%, away 24.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
Bet365 1.90 3.75 3.90
BetVictor 1.87 3.80 3.70
Betano 1.98 3.90 3.80
Betfair 1.87 3.90 3.80
Dafabet 1.94 3.85 3.80
Marathonbet 1.88 3.68 3.68
Pinnacle 1.91 3.90 3.82
SBO 1.87 3.50 3.45
William Hill 1.85 3.50 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.88 ▲ +0.13
X 3.80 ▼ -0.10
2 3.80 ▼ -0.25

36 snapshots recorded, from .