New York Red Bulls
vs
San Diego
Garuda Lions Prediction: San Diego
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
New York Red Bulls vs San Diego overview
Garuda Lions analysis: New York Red Bulls vs San Diego
| Probability | New York Red Bulls | Draw | San Diego |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.4% | 28.4% | 36.2% |
| Market | 36.4% | 24.6% | 39.0% |
| Final | 36.2% | 25.6% | 38.3% |
| Edge | -1.0% | +3.8% | -2.8% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.49, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
New York Red Bulls vs San Diego match preview
The upcoming match between New York Red Bulls and San Diego presents an intriguing clash in Major League Soccer. The model indicates a close contest, with San Diego slightly favored at 38% compared to New York Red Bulls at 36%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring with an 8% probability. Both teams show a moderate likelihood of scoring, with 56% for both teams to find the net and a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored.
In terms of recent form, New York Red Bulls have recorded a mixed bag of results, with their last five matches yielding two wins and three losses. Conversely, San Diego has struggled, managing only one win in their last six outings. Expected goals are closely matched, with New York Red Bulls at 1.33 and San Diego at 1.35, suggesting a competitive encounter ahead.
New York Red Bulls and San Diego team news
New York Red Bulls news
- A. Marcucci — knee injury
- C. Harper — muscle injury
- J. Che — ankle injury
- J. Marshall-Rutty — hamstring injury
San Diego news
- A. Pellegrino — lower-body injury
- Gabriel Pirani — muscle injury
- S. Vines — lower-body injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
New York Red Bulls and San Diego expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.68
New York Red Bulls and San Diego attack and defence ratings
New York Red Bulls
San Diego
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
- Orlando City SC v Columbus Crew — match page
- Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake — team news & stats
- Atlanta United FC v FC Cincinnati — match page
- New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders — team news & stats
- Inter Miami vs DC United
- Charlotte v FC Dallas — match page
- Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers — team news & stats
- Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo
Before and after this match
New York Red Bulls vs San Diego markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Diego | 38.3% | 2.61 | -2.8% | 2.49 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.1% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | New York Red Bulls | 36.2% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| San Diego | 38.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% |
| No | 44.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | San Diego win | 17.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 63.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 1-2 | 8.3% | |
| 2-1 | 8.2% |
New York Red Bulls vs San Diego stats
New York Red Bulls and San Diego recent form
| New York Red Bulls |
LWWLDL |
| San Diego |
DDLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
New York Red Bulls and San Diego season so far
New York Red Bulls record
- They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
San Diego record
- They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
New York Red Bulls vs San Diego head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
New York Red Bulls vs San Diego odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.4%, draw 24.6%, away 39.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 3.80 | 2.45 |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.90 | 2.40 |
| Betano | 2.57 | 3.90 | 2.47 |
| Betfair | 2.60 | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.60 | 3.95 | 2.49 |
| Marathonbet | 2.55 | 3.75 | 2.40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.58 | 3.86 | 2.48 |
| SBO | 2.38 | 3.50 | 2.25 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.38 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
34 snapshots recorded, from .