Major League Soccer
·
Full time
·Matchday 28
New York Red Bulls
vs
San Diego
4 – 1 Full time
| 15′ | Julian Hall | ||
| 20′ | Devin Padelford | ||
| 27′ | Jorge Ruvalcaba | ||
| 30′ | Jeppe Tverskov | ||
| 42′ | Julian Bazan | ||
| 45′ | Jeppe TverskovAlejandro Alvarado Jr | ||
| 45′ | Marcus IngvartsenCédric Bakambu | ||
| 55′ | Manu Duah | ||
| 60′ | Cédric Bakambu | ||
| 61′ | Gabriel PiraniDavid Evra Mimbang Nyangono | ||
| 61′ | Ian MurphyChristopher McVey | ||
| 61′ | Justin CheTim Parker | ||
| 71′ | Ronald DonkorSekou Kone | ||
| 71′ | Mohammed SofoEmil Forsberg | ||
| 71′ | Cade CowellEric Maxim Choupo-Moting | ||
| 79′ | Elias AchouriAmahl Pellegrino | ||
| 81′ | Jorge RuvalcabaJahkeele Marshall-Rutty | ||
| 82′ | Devin Padelford | ||
| 85′ | kieran sargeant | ||
| 88′ | Devin PadelfordMatthew Dos Santos | ||
| 90′ | Aníbal GodoyOnni Valakari | ||
| 90′ | Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting |
New York Red Bulls
36%
Draw
25%
San Diego
38%
Match stats
| 28 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 36 | Possession % | 64 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 20 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 4 | Saves | 8 |
| 261 | Accurate passes | 460 |
New York Red Bulls vs San Diego overview
Garuda Lions analysis: New York Red Bulls vs San Diego
| Probability | New York Red Bulls | Draw | San Diego |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.4% | 28.4% | 36.2% |
| Market | 36.8% | 24.1% | 39.1% |
| Final | 36.5% | 25.2% | 38.4% |
| Edge | -0.3% | +1.1% | -0.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
76%
3+ goals
50%
No goals
8%
New York Red Bulls and San Diego expected goals
New York Red Bulls
1.33
San Diego
1.35
Total expected goals: 2.68
New York Red Bulls and San Diego attack and defence ratings
New York Red Bulls
Attack
0.63 -37%
Defence
0.95 -5%
San Diego
Attack
1.03 +3%
Defence
1.22 +22%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
New York Red Bulls vs San Diego: result vs prediction
New York Red Bulls 4 – 1 San Diego
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
- Toronto FC vs CF Montreal — team news & stats
- Chicago Fire vs New York City FC
- Orlando City SC v Columbus Crew — match page
- Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake — team news & stats
- Atlanta United FC v FC Cincinnati — match page
- New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders — team news & stats
- Inter Miami vs DC United
- Charlotte v FC Dallas — match page
Before and after this match
New York Red Bulls vs San Diego markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Diego | 38.4% | 2.61 | -0.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.1% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | New York Red Bulls | 36.5% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| San Diego | 38.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% |
| No | 44.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | San Diego win | 17.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 63.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 1-2 | 8.3% | |
| 2-1 | 8.2% |
New York Red Bulls vs San Diego stats
New York Red Bulls and San Diego recent form
| New York Red Bulls |
LWWLDL |
| San Diego |
DDLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
New York Red Bulls and San Diego going into this match
New York Red Bulls record
- They have won 9 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
San Diego record
- They have won 8 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
New York Red Bulls vs San Diego head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
0New York Red Bulls wins
0Draws
1San Diego wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-15 | San Diego | New York Red Bulls | Friendlies Clubs | 6-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
New York Red Bulls vs San Diego odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.8%, draw 24.1%, away 39.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.75 | 2.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.90 | 2.40 |
| Betano | 2.57 | 3.95 | 2.47 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.90 | 2.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.60 | 3.95 | 2.49 |
| Marathonbet | 2.55 | 3.75 | 2.40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.61 | 3.90 | 2.50 |
| SBO | 2.41 | 3.64 | 2.38 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.38 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.55 ▲ +0.45
X
3.90 —
2
2.40 ▼ -0.58
36 snapshots recorded, from .