DC United
vs
New York Red Bulls
2 – 1 Full time
| 5′ | Tai Baribo | ||
| 19′ | Devin Padelford | ||
| 22′ | Lucas Bartlett | ||
| 29′ | Jackson Hopkins | ||
| 45′ | Silvan Hefti | ||
| 56′ | Jackson HopkinsJoão Gabriel Martins Peglow | ||
| 56′ | Oscar AvilezJared Stroud | ||
| 57′ | Justin CheJahkeele Marshall-Rutty | ||
| 57′ | Cade CowellEric Maxim Choupo-Moting | ||
| 57′ | Adri MehmetiEmil Forsberg | ||
| 57′ | Jorge RuvalcabaCameron Harper | ||
| 67′ | Dylan Nealis | ||
| 68′ | Lucas Bartlett | ||
| 70′ | Brandon ServaniaSean Nealis | ||
| 71′ | Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting | ||
| 73′ | Ronald Donkor | ||
| 78′ | Ronald DonkorSekou Kone |
Match stats
| 4 | Shots | 24 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 26 | Possession % | 74 |
| 3 | Corners | 11 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 5 | Saves | 1 |
| 116 | Accurate passes | 541 |
DC United vs New York Red Bulls overview
Garuda Lions analysis: DC United vs New York Red Bulls
| Probability | DC United | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.4% | 28.8% | 36.8% |
| Market | 47.0% | 24.1% | 28.9% |
| Final | 43.8% | 25.3% | 30.9% |
| Edge | -3.1% | +1.2% | +2.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
DC United and New York Red Bulls expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.61
DC United and New York Red Bulls attack and defence ratings
DC United
New York Red Bulls
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
DC United vs New York Red Bulls: result vs prediction
DC United 2 – 1 New York Red Bulls
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
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- CF Montreal v Atlanta United FC — match page
- FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution
- Inter Miami v New York City FC — match page
- FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders — team news & stats
- Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union
- Nashville SC v Sporting Kansas City — match page
Before and after this match
DC United vs New York Red Bulls markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | DC United | 43.8% | 2.28 | -3.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | DC United | 43.8% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| New York Red Bulls | 30.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.4% |
| No | 45.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | DC United win | 15.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.8% | |
| Loss | 65.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 0-0 | 8.6% | |
| 0-1 | 8.5% |
DC United vs New York Red Bulls stats
DC United and New York Red Bulls recent form
| LDLDWD | |
| WLWWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
DC United and New York Red Bulls going into this match
DC United record
- They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
New York Red Bulls record
- They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
DC United vs New York Red Bulls head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | New York Red Bulls | DC United | Major League Soccer | 4-4 |
| 2025-05-24 | DC United | New York Red Bulls | Major League Soccer | 0-2 |
| 2025-04-19 | New York Red Bulls | DC United | Major League Soccer | 1-2 |
| 2025-01-25 | New York Red Bulls | DC United | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
| 2024-06-29 | New York Red Bulls | DC United | Major League Soccer | 2-2 |
| 2024-05-15 | DC United | New York Red Bulls | Major League Soccer | 1-4 |
| 2023-09-23 | DC United | New York Red Bulls | Major League Soccer | 3-5 |
| 2023-08-20 | New York Red Bulls | DC United | Major League Soccer | 1-0 |
| 2023-05-09 | New York Red Bulls | DC United | US Open Cup | 1-0 |
| 2022-08-06 | DC United | New York Red Bulls | Major League Soccer | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
DC United vs New York Red Bulls odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.0%, draw 24.1%, away 28.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.90 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 4.00 | 3.35 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.75 | 3.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.04 | 4.00 | 3.35 |
| Marathonbet | 1.94 | 3.84 | 3.34 |
| Pinnacle | 2.04 | 4.03 | 3.37 |
| SBO | 1.94 | 3.57 | 3.20 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
20 snapshots recorded, from .