Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 29

DC United vs New York Red Bulls

2 – 1 Full time

5′Tai Baribo
19′Devin Padelford
22′Lucas Bartlett
29′Jackson Hopkins
45′Silvan Hefti
56′Jackson HopkinsJoão Gabriel Martins Peglow
56′Oscar AvilezJared Stroud
57′Justin CheJahkeele Marshall-Rutty
57′Cade CowellEric Maxim Choupo-Moting
57′Adri MehmetiEmil Forsberg
57′Jorge RuvalcabaCameron Harper
67′Dylan Nealis
68′Lucas Bartlett
70′Brandon ServaniaSean Nealis
71′Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting
73′Ronald Donkor
78′Ronald DonkorSekou Kone

Audi Field, WashingtonReferee: Guido Gonzales Jr

DC United 44%
Draw 25%
New York Red Bulls 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

4 Shots 24
3 Shots on target 6
26 Possession % 74
3 Corners 11
9 Fouls 12
3 Offsides 0
5 Saves 1
116 Accurate passes 541

DC United vs New York Red Bulls overview

Garuda Lions analysis: DC United vs New York Red Bulls

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDC UnitedDrawNew York Red Bulls
Model34.4%28.8%36.8%
Market47.0%24.1%28.9%
Final43.8%25.3%30.9%
Edge-3.1%+1.2%+2.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

DC United ↓ / New York Red B → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 9% 1 8% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

DC United and New York Red Bulls expected goals

DC United 1.28
New York Red Bulls 1.33

Total expected goals: 2.61

DC United and New York Red Bulls attack and defence ratings

DC United

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 1.21 +21%

New York Red Bulls

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

DC United vs New York Red Bulls: result vs prediction

DC United 2 – 1 New York Red Bulls

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 29 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

DC United vs New York Red Bulls markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 DC United 43.8% 2.28 -3.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51.5% 1.94 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.4% 1.84 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.7% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.6% 1.52 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2DC United43.8%
Draw25.3%
New York Red Bulls30.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.5%
Under 2.551.5%
Both teams to scoreYes54.4%
No45.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.1%
12 (either side)74.7%
X2 (draw or away)56.2%
Handicap -1DC United win15.6%
Push (exactly one goal)18.8%
Loss65.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.8%
0-08.6%
0-18.5%

DC United vs New York Red Bulls stats

DC United and New York Red Bulls recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

DC United and New York Red Bulls going into this match

league record before kick-off

DC United record

  • They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).

New York Red Bulls record

  • They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

DC United vs New York Red Bulls head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1DC United wins 4Draws 5New York Red Bulls wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-22New York Red BullsDC UnitedMajor League Soccer4-4
2025-05-24DC UnitedNew York Red BullsMajor League Soccer0-2
2025-04-19New York Red BullsDC UnitedMajor League Soccer1-2
2025-01-25New York Red BullsDC UnitedFriendlies Clubs1-1
2024-06-29New York Red BullsDC UnitedMajor League Soccer2-2
2024-05-15DC UnitedNew York Red BullsMajor League Soccer1-4
2023-09-23DC UnitedNew York Red BullsMajor League Soccer3-5
2023-08-20New York Red BullsDC UnitedMajor League Soccer1-0
2023-05-09New York Red BullsDC UnitedUS Open Cup1-0
2022-08-06DC UnitedNew York Red BullsMajor League Soccer0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

DC United vs New York Red Bulls odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.0%, draw 24.1%, away 28.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
Bet365 2.00 4.00 3.20
BetVictor 2.00 3.90 3.25
Betano 2.10 4.00 3.35
Betfair 2.10 3.75 3.20
Dafabet 2.04 4.00 3.35
Marathonbet 1.94 3.84 3.34
Pinnacle 2.04 4.03 3.37
SBO 1.94 3.57 3.20
William Hill 1.95 3.60 3.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.00 ▲ +0.25
X 3.90 ▼ -0.04
2 3.25 ▼ -0.75

20 snapshots recorded, from .