Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 28

Inter Miami vs DC United

4 – 0 Full time

3′Luis Suárez
39′Luis Suárez
47′Lionel Messi
56′Jackson HopkinsNathan Ordaz
56′Nikola MarkovićMatti Peltola
60′Lionel Messi
61′Luis SuárezRiquelme Fillipi
68′Hosei KijimaSilvan Hefti
68′Andre DozzellBrandon Servania
70′David AyalaTelasco Segovia
70′Micael dos Santos SilvaMaximiliano Falcon
78′Sergio ReguilónIan Fray
78′Rodrigo De PaulAlexander Shaw
80′João Gabriel Martins PeglowJared Stroud

Nu Stadium, MiamiReferee: Lukasz Szpala

Inter Miami 64%
Draw 19%
DC United 17%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

17 Shots 15
9 Shots on target 2
62 Possession % 38
4 Corners 2
17 Fouls 6
0 Offsides 1
2 Saves 5
568 Accurate passes 319

Inter Miami vs DC United overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Inter Miami vs DC United

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityInter MiamiDrawDC United
Model56.6%21.0%22.4%
Market66.4%17.9%15.7%
Final63.9%18.7%17.4%
Edge-2.4%+0.8%+1.7%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Inter Miami

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.35 vs 1.46.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Inter Miami ↓ / DC United → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 4% 8% 6% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 5% 7% 5% 4+ 5% 7% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 73%
No goals 3%

Inter Miami and DC United expected goals

Inter Miami 2.35
DC United 1.46

Total expected goals: 3.80

Inter Miami and DC United attack and defence ratings

Inter Miami

Attack 1.25 +25%
Defence 1.18 +18%

DC United

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Inter Miami vs DC United: result vs prediction

Inter Miami 4 – 0 DC United

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 28 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

Inter Miami vs DC United markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Inter Miami 63.9% 1.56 -2.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 73.1% 1.37 — —
Both teams to score Yes 70.1% 1.43 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 82.6% 1.21 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 43.3% 2.31 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Inter Miami63.9%
Draw18.7%
DC United17.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573.1%
Under 2.526.9%
Both teams to scoreYes70.1%
No29.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)82.6%
12 (either side)81.3%
X2 (draw or away)36.1%
Handicap -1Inter Miami win36.4%
Push (exactly one goal)20.2%
Loss43.3%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.9%
1-18.4%
3-17.0%

Inter Miami vs DC United stats

Inter Miami and DC United recent form

newest first
Inter Miami LDDDDW
DC United DLDWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Inter Miami and DC United going into this match

league record before kick-off

Inter Miami record

  • They have won 12 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 2.1 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

DC United record

  • They have won 6 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).

Inter Miami vs DC United head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Inter Miami wins 3Draws 2DC United wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-07DC UnitedInter MiamiMajor League Soccer1-2
2025-09-20Inter MiamiDC UnitedMajor League Soccer3-2
2025-08-23DC UnitedInter MiamiMajor League Soccer1-1
2024-05-18Inter MiamiDC UnitedMajor League Soccer1-0
2024-03-16DC UnitedInter MiamiMajor League Soccer1-3
2023-07-08DC UnitedInter MiamiMajor League Soccer2-2
2023-06-03Inter MiamiDC UnitedMajor League Soccer1-2
2022-09-18DC UnitedInter MiamiMajor League Soccer2-3
2022-05-15Inter MiamiDC UnitedMajor League Soccer2-2
2021-06-20DC UnitedInter MiamiMajor League Soccer1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Inter Miami vs DC United odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 66.4%, draw 17.9%, away 15.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
Bet365 1.42 5.25 6.00
BetVictor 1.40 5.25 6.00
Betano 1.47 5.50 6.30
Betfair 1.36 5.50 6.50
Dafabet 1.46 5.40 5.80
Marathonbet 1.41 5.10 5.90
Pinnacle 1.42 5.43 6.37
SBO 1.39 4.84 5.51
William Hill 1.44 4.60 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.42 ▲ +0.06
X 5.25 ▲ +0.05
2 6.00 ▼ -0.75

36 snapshots recorded, from .