Inter Miami
vs
DC United
Garuda Lions Prediction: Inter Miami
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Inter Miami vs DC United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Inter Miami vs DC United
| Probability | Inter Miami | Draw | DC United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.6% | 21.0% | 22.4% |
| Market | 68.7% | 17.3% | 14.0% |
| Final | 65.7% | 18.2% | 16.1% |
| Edge | -12.1% | +3.7% | +8.4% |
Why Inter Miami
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.35 vs 1.46.
Best available price on the pick: 1.41, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Inter Miami vs DC United match preview
Inter Miami is favored to win against DC United with a 67% probability, while a draw stands at 18% and a DC United victory at 16%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1 in favor of Inter Miami, with an expected goals tally of 2.34 for Inter Miami compared to 1.46 for DC United. Additionally, there is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored and a 70% likelihood that both teams will find the net.
In terms of recent form, Inter Miami has experienced a mixed run with one win and four draws in their last six matches, while DC United has recorded two draws and four losses in the same timeframe. The head-to-head record shows Inter Miami with two wins and one draw against DC United in their last three encounters.
Inter Miami and DC United team news
Inter Miami news
- F. Mura — ankle injury
- I. Fray — groin injury
- M. Silvetti — injury
- S. Morales — suspended
- T. Allende — knee injury
- T. Segovia — muscle injury
- Y. Bright — foot injury
DC United news
- G. Segal — leg injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Inter Miami and DC United expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.80
Inter Miami and DC United attack and defence ratings
Inter Miami
DC United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
- Orlando City SC v Columbus Crew — match page
- Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake — team news & stats
- New York Red Bulls vs San Diego
- Atlanta United FC v FC Cincinnati — match page
- New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders — team news & stats
- Charlotte v FC Dallas — match page
- Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers — team news & stats
- Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo
Before and after this match
Inter Miami vs DC United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter Miami | 65.7% | 1.52 | -12.1% | 1.41 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.4% | 2.31 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter Miami | 65.7% |
| Draw | 18.2% | |
| DC United | 16.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.1% |
| No | 29.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 34.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Inter Miami win | 36.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 43.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.9% |
| 1-1 | 8.4% | |
| 3-1 | 7.0% |
Inter Miami vs DC United stats
Inter Miami and DC United recent form
| Inter Miami |
LDDDDW |
| DC United |
DLDWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Inter Miami and DC United season so far
Inter Miami record
- They have won 12 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 2.1 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
DC United record
- They have won 6 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
Inter Miami vs DC United head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | DC United | Inter Miami | Major League Soccer | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-20 | Inter Miami | DC United | Major League Soccer | 3-2 |
| 2025-08-23 | DC United | Inter Miami | Major League Soccer | 1-1 |
| 2024-05-18 | Inter Miami | DC United | Major League Soccer | 1-0 |
| 2024-03-16 | DC United | Inter Miami | Major League Soccer | 1-3 |
| 2023-07-08 | DC United | Inter Miami | Major League Soccer | 2-2 |
| 2023-06-03 | Inter Miami | DC United | Major League Soccer | 1-2 |
| 2022-09-18 | DC United | Inter Miami | Major League Soccer | 2-3 |
| 2022-05-15 | Inter Miami | DC United | Major League Soccer | 2-2 |
| 2021-06-20 | DC United | Inter Miami | Major League Soccer | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Inter Miami vs DC United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 68.7%, draw 17.3%, away 14.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.38 | 5.25 | 7.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 5.50 | 7.00 |
| Betano | 1.40 | 5.30 | 6.70 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 5.50 | 7.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.41 | 5.80 | 6.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.35 | 5.40 | 6.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.39 | 5.45 | 6.38 |
| SBO | 1.34 | 4.80 | 5.13 |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 5.00 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
34 snapshots recorded, from .