Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 27

Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami

2 – 1 Full time

27′Carlos Henrique Casimiro
28′Josef Martínez
33′Lionel Messi
38′Dylan Chambost
40′Yannick BrightDavid Ayala
67′Micael dos Santos Silva
71′Facundo MuraRiquelme Fillipi
75′Brais Méndez
78′Dylan ChambostSekou Tidiany Bangoura
78′Eric Bailly
80′Daniel Pinter
83′Eric BaillyMarcelo Andrés Herrera
83′Josef MartínezJamal Thiare
83′Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
86′Daniel PinterSantiago Morales
86′Sergio ReguilónEzequiel Abadia-Reda
90′Gonzalo Lujan
90′Santiago Morales
90′Santiago Morales
90′Jamal Thiare
90′Jamal Thiare
90′Luis Barraza

ScottsMiracle-Gro Field, ColumbusReferee: Victor Rivas

Columbus Crew 35%
Draw 24%
Inter Miami 41%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 3
44 Possession % 56
9 Corners 1
18 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 4
2 Saves 4
344 Accurate passes 464

Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityColumbus CrewDrawInter Miami
Model39.1%23.1%37.7%
Market33.6%23.9%42.5%
Final35.0%23.7%41.3%
Edge+5.5%-0.8%-4.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Columbus Crew ↓ / Inter Miami → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 8% 5% 2 8% 7% 3 5% 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 72%
No goals 3%

Columbus Crew and Inter Miami expected goals

Columbus Crew 1.89
Inter Miami 1.85

Total expected goals: 3.74

Columbus Crew and Inter Miami attack and defence ratings

Columbus Crew

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Inter Miami

Attack 1.37 +37%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami: result vs prediction

Columbus Crew 2 – 1 Inter Miami

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 27 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Inter Miami 41.3% 2.42 -4.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 72.1% 1.39 — —
Both teams to score Yes 72.4% 1.38 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.3% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.3% 1.61 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Columbus Crew35.0%
Draw23.7%
Inter Miami41.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.572.1%
Under 2.527.9%
Both teams to scoreYes72.4%
No27.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)58.7%
12 (either side)76.3%
X2 (draw or away)65.0%
Handicap -1Inter Miami win20.4%
Push (exactly one goal)17.3%
Loss62.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.1%
2-17.8%
1-27.7%

Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami stats

Columbus Crew and Inter Miami recent form

newest first
Columbus Crew WLLLWL
Inter Miami DDDDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Columbus Crew and Inter Miami going into this match

league record before kick-off

Columbus Crew record

  • They have won 7 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 26 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

Inter Miami record

  • They have won 12 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 2.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

1Columbus Crew wins 2Draws 6Inter Miami wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-01Inter MiamiColumbus CrewMajor League Soccer2-2
2025-05-31Inter MiamiColumbus CrewMajor League Soccer5-1
2025-04-19Columbus CrewInter MiamiMajor League Soccer0-1
2024-10-02Columbus CrewInter MiamiMajor League Soccer2-3
2024-08-13Columbus CrewInter MiamiLeagues Cup3-2
2024-06-19Inter MiamiColumbus CrewMajor League Soccer2-1
2023-07-04Inter MiamiColumbus CrewMajor League Soccer2-2
2023-04-29Columbus CrewInter MiamiMajor League Soccer1-2
2022-09-14Inter MiamiColumbus CrewMajor League Soccer2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.6%, draw 23.9%, away 42.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
Bet365 2.90 3.90 2.20
BetVictor 2.75 4.00 2.20
Betano 2.92 3.90 2.22
Betfair 2.80 4.00 2.20
Marathonbet 2.76 3.90 2.19
Pinnacle 2.87 4.03 2.29
SBO 2.59 3.63 2.23
William Hill 2.70 3.70 2.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.78 ▼ -0.12
X 3.90 ▼ -0.10
2 2.20 ▲ +0.10

20 snapshots recorded, from .