Major League Soccer
·
Full time
·Matchday 26
Inter Miami
vs
San Diego
2 – 2 Full time
| 12′ | A. Dreyer | ||
| 23′ | L. Messi | ||
| 33′ | I. Murphy | ||
| 62′ | M. IngvartsenC. Bakambu | ||
| 65′ | Y. Bright | ||
| 69′ | M. GalarzaA. Shaw | ||
| 69′ | F. CaicedoS. Reguilon | ||
| 74′ | I. MurphyC. McVey | ||
| 74′ | A. GodoyA. Alvarado Jr | ||
| 75′ | L. Suarez | ||
| 82′ | A. Shaw | ||
| 82′ | A. Dreyer | ||
| 88′ | G. BerterameD. Pinter | ||
| 90′ | D. ThorhallssonS. Vines |
Inter Miami
66%
Draw
17%
San Diego
17%
Match stats
| 19 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 49 | Possession % | 51 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 20 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 6 |
| 470 | Accurate passes | 501 |
Inter Miami vs San Diego overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Inter Miami vs San Diego
| Probability | Inter Miami | Draw | San Diego |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65.1% | 17.4% | 17.5% |
| Market | 66.0% | 17.2% | 16.9% |
| Final | 65.8% | 17.2% | 17.0% |
| Edge | -0.8% | +0.2% | +0.6% |
Why Inter Miami
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.87 vs 1.51.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
94%
3+ goals
81%
No goals
2%
Inter Miami and San Diego expected goals
Inter Miami
2.87
San Diego
1.51
Total expected goals: 4.38
Inter Miami and San Diego attack and defence ratings
Inter Miami
Attack
1.39 +39%
Defence
1.18 +18%
San Diego
Attack
0.93 -7%
Defence
1.19 +19%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Inter Miami vs San Diego: result vs prediction
Inter Miami 2 – 2 San Diego
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
- New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls — team news & stats
- San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC
- New England Revolution v Orlando City SC — match page
- CF Montreal vs Columbus Crew — team news & stats
- DC United vs Charlotte
- FC Dallas v Austin — match page
- Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati — team news & stats
- Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union
Before and after this match
Inter Miami vs San Diego markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter Miami | 65.8% | 1.52 | -0.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.0% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Inter Miami win | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter Miami | 65.8% |
| Draw | 17.2% | |
| San Diego | 17.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 18.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.0% |
| No | 26.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 34.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Inter Miami win | 46.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 34.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.8% |
| 3-1 | 7.5% | |
| 1-1 | 6.0% |
Inter Miami vs San Diego stats
Inter Miami and San Diego recent form
| Inter Miami |
DDDWLD |
| San Diego |
LLLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Inter Miami and San Diego going into this match
Inter Miami record
- They have won 12 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 2.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
San Diego record
- They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Inter Miami vs San Diego head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Inter Miami vs San Diego odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 66.0%, draw 17.2%, away 16.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 5.50 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 5.50 | 5.75 |
| Betano | 1.47 | 5.60 | 5.90 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 5.50 | 5.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.42 | 5.25 | 5.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.46 | 5.64 | 5.64 |
| SBO | 1.39 | 5.03 | 5.22 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 5.00 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.43 ▼ -0.05
X
5.50 ▲ +0.78
2
5.59 ▼ -0.08
14 snapshots recorded, from .