Major League Soccer
·
Full time
·Matchday 25
San Diego
vs
Philadelphia Union
0 – 5 Full time
| 27′ | Bruno Damiani | ||
| 45′ | Alejandro Alvarado Jr | ||
| 45′ | Cavan Sullivan | ||
| 45′ | Neil Pierre | ||
| 60′ | Onni ValakariDavid Vazquez | ||
| 60′ | Alejandro Alvarado JrAníbal Godoy | ||
| 60′ | Amahl PellegrinoCédric Bakambu | ||
| 61′ | Cavan Sullivan | ||
| 67′ | Bruno Damiani | ||
| 70′ | Indiana VassilevQuinn Sullivan | ||
| 73′ | Elias AchouriBryan Zamblé | ||
| 77′ | Cavan SullivanJesus Bueno | ||
| 77′ | Bruno DamianiEzekiel Kwame Alladoh | ||
| 81′ | Ian MurphyDagur Dan Þórhallsson | ||
| 86′ | Neil PierreJaphet Sery Larsen | ||
| 86′ | Milan IloskiMalik Jakupovic | ||
| 87′ | Aníbal Godoy | ||
| 90′ | Oscar Verhoeven | ||
| 90′ | Malik Jakupovic |
San Diego
34%
Draw
25%
Philadelphia Union
41%
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 21 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 58 | Possession % | 42 |
| 11 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 5 |
| 468 | Accurate passes | 320 |
San Diego vs Philadelphia Union overview
Garuda Lions analysis: San Diego vs Philadelphia Union
| Probability | San Diego | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.9% | 24.2% | 42.9% |
| Market | 34.9% | 24.9% | 40.1% |
| Final | 34.4% | 24.7% | 40.8% |
| Edge | -2.0% | -0.7% | +2.7% |
Why Philadelphia Union
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Philadelphia Union below the model: +2.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
87%
3+ goals
67%
No goals
4%
San Diego and Philadelphia Union expected goals
San Diego
1.60
Philadelphia Union
1.85
Total expected goals: 3.45
San Diego and Philadelphia Union attack and defence ratings
San Diego
Attack
1.08 +8%
Defence
0.96 -4%
Philadelphia Union
Attack
1.41 +41%
Defence
0.86 -14%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
San Diego vs Philadelphia Union: result vs prediction
San Diego 0 – 5 Philadelphia Union
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
- Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC — team news & stats
- Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls
- DC United v Atlanta United FC — match page
- FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte — team news & stats
- Inter Miami vs Nashville SC
- FC Dallas v Portland Timbers — match page
- Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC — team news & stats
- St. Louis City vs Minnesota United FC
Before and after this match
San Diego vs Philadelphia Union markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Philadelphia Union | 40.8% | 2.45 | +2.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Diego | 34.4% |
| Draw | 24.7% | |
| Philadelphia Union | 40.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.2% |
| No | 31.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Philadelphia Union win | 23.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.1% | |
| Loss | 57.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.3% |
| 1-2 | 8.7% | |
| 2-1 | 7.5% |
San Diego vs Philadelphia Union stats
San Diego and Philadelphia Union recent form
| San Diego |
LLWWLW |
| Philadelphia Union |
WWWDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
San Diego and Philadelphia Union going into this match
San Diego record
- They have won 8 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Philadelphia Union record
- They have won 8 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
San Diego vs Philadelphia Union head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
San Diego vs Philadelphia Union odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.7%, draw 24.8%, away 39.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.50 | 3.85 | 2.45 |
| 888Sport | 2.50 | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| Bet365 | 2.80 | 3.75 | 2.35 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.80 | 2.30 |
| Betano | 2.75 | 3.75 | 2.37 |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 3.70 | 2.55 |
| Dafabet | 2.60 | 3.85 | 2.50 |
| Marathonbet | 2.65 | 3.82 | 2.31 |
| Pinnacle | 2.80 | 3.77 | 2.40 |
| SBO | 2.39 | 3.37 | 2.30 |
| Unibet | 2.60 | 3.80 | 2.35 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.60 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.67 ▲ +0.17
X
3.75 —
2
2.33 ▼ -0.10
14 snapshots recorded, from .