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Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 25

Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls

0 – 1 Full time

66′Matthew Dos SantosDevin Padelford
66′Jorge RuvalcabaCade Cowell
69′Ronald Donkor
70′Santiago Rodriguez
71′Gonzalo TapiaJosef Martínez
73′Mohammed Sofo
75′Santiago RodriguezTaha Habroune
80′Adri MehmetiDavid Ruiz
80′Julian HallEric Maxim Choupo-Moting
83′André GomesDylan Chambost
83′Lautaro GiacconeJamal Thiare
89′Ronald Donkor
90′Cameron HarperDennis Nelich
90′Steven Moreira

Lower.com Field, ColumbusReferee: Ramy Touchan, USA

Columbus Crew 54%
Draw 23%
New York Red Bulls 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 5
59 Possession % 41
7 Corners 3
12 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 3
4 Saves 3
476 Accurate passes 331

Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityColumbus CrewDrawNew York Red Bulls
Model53.8%25.6%20.6%
Market53.8%22.7%23.5%
Final53.8%23.4%22.7%
Edge-0.0%+2.9%-2.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Columbus Crew

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.77 vs 1.02.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Columbus Crew ↓ / New York Red B → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 10% 12% 2 10% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 53%
No goals 7%

Columbus Crew and New York Red Bulls expected goals

Columbus Crew 1.77
New York Red Bulls 1.02

Total expected goals: 2.79

Columbus Crew and New York Red Bulls attack and defence ratings

Columbus Crew

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 1.07 +7%

New York Red Bulls

Attack 0.70 -30%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls: result vs prediction

Columbus Crew 0 – 1 New York Red Bulls

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 25 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Columbus Crew 53.8% 1.86 -0.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.7% 1.90 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.1% 1.85 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.3% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.2% 2.16 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Columbus Crew53.8%
Draw23.4%
New York Red Bulls22.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.7%
Under 2.547.3%
Both teams to scoreYes54.1%
No45.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.3%
12 (either side)76.6%
X2 (draw or away)46.2%
Handicap -1Columbus Crew win30.8%
Push (exactly one goal)23.0%
Loss46.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.2%
2-19.8%
1-09.8%

Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls stats

Columbus Crew and New York Red Bulls recent form

newest first
Columbus Crew LWLLLL
New York Red Bulls LDLDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Columbus Crew and New York Red Bulls going into this match

league record before kick-off

Columbus Crew record

  • They have won 6 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 24 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

New York Red Bulls record

  • They have won 7 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 24 matches.
  • 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

4Columbus Crew wins 2Draws 3New York Red Bulls wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-13New York Red BullsColumbus CrewMajor League Soccer3-2
2025-10-18Columbus CrewNew York Red BullsMajor League Soccer3-1
2025-08-30New York Red BullsColumbus CrewMajor League Soccer0-0
2024-11-03New York Red BullsColumbus CrewMajor League Soccer2-2
2024-10-29Columbus CrewNew York Red BullsMajor League Soccer0-1
2024-10-20New York Red BullsColumbus CrewMajor League Soccer2-3
2024-03-16Columbus CrewNew York Red BullsMajor League Soccer3-0
2023-07-01Columbus CrewNew York Red BullsMajor League Soccer2-1
2023-03-18New York Red BullsColumbus CrewMajor League Soccer2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 53.3%, draw 22.7%, away 24.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.84 4.10 3.50
888Sport 1.83 3.90 3.50
Bet365 1.75 4.20 4.10
BetVictor 1.73 4.10 4.00
Betano 1.75 4.45 4.30
Betfair 1.75 4.00 4.20
Dafabet 1.87 4.20 3.80
Marathonbet 1.72 4.20 3.98
Pinnacle 1.78 4.35 4.03
SBO 1.75 3.85 3.63
Unibet 1.87 4.10 3.45
William Hill 1.75 3.90 3.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.75 ▼ -0.09
X 4.15 ▲ +0.10
2 4.02 ▲ +0.52

10 snapshots recorded, from .