Major League Soccer
·
Full time
·Matchday 24
Los Angeles FC
vs
New York Red Bulls
2 – 0 Full time
| 18′ | D. Nealis | ||
| 21′ | J. Terry | ||
| 33′ | A. MehmetiS. Kone | ||
| 42′ | K. Nielsen | ||
| 52′ | J. Bazan | ||
| 56′ | C. CowellJ. Ruvalcaba | ||
| 56′ | M. SofoJ. Hall | ||
| 56′ | E. M. Choupo-MotingM. Jimenez | ||
| 61′ | J. TerryIgor Jesus | ||
| 61′ | J. ShaffelburgA. Sieb | ||
| 66′ | D. PadelfordJ. Marshall-Rutty | ||
| 75′ | K. NielsenR. Raposo | ||
| 87′ | R. Raposo | ||
| 90′ | D. BouangaT. Boyd | ||
| 90′ | A. Sieb |
Los Angeles FC
64%
Draw
21%
New York Red Bulls
15%
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 43 | Possession % | 57 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 6 |
| 412 | Accurate passes | 581 |
Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls
| Probability | Los Angeles FC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.5% | 28.9% | 16.7% |
| Market | 67.1% | 18.4% | 14.5% |
| Final | 64.0% | 21.0% | 15.0% |
| Edge | -12.7% | +10.4% | +2.2% |
Why Los Angeles FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 0.71.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
88%
2+ goals
65%
3+ goals
37%
No goals
12%
Los Angeles FC and New York Red Bulls expected goals
Los Angeles FC
1.47
New York Red Bulls
0.71
Total expected goals: 2.18
Los Angeles FC and New York Red Bulls attack and defence ratings
Los Angeles FC
Attack
0.82 -18%
Defence
0.69 -31%
New York Red Bulls
Attack
0.75 -25%
Defence
1.03 +3%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls: result vs prediction
Los Angeles FC 2 – 0 New York Red Bulls
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 24 fixtures
- Toronto FC v Nashville SC — match page
- Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC
- CF Montreal v Charlotte — match page
- DC United vs Columbus Crew — team news & stats
- Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati
- New York City FC vs New England Revolution — team news & stats
- Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake
- Chicago Fire v Inter Miami — match page
Before and after this match
Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Los Angeles FC | 64.0% | 1.56 | -12.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Los Angeles FC | 64.0% |
| Draw | 21.0% | |
| New York Red Bulls | 15.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.2% |
| No | 59.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 36.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Los Angeles FC win | 28.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.8% | |
| Loss | 45.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.5% |
| 1-1 | 12.9% | |
| 0-0 | 12.5% |
Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls stats
Los Angeles FC and New York Red Bulls recent form
| Los Angeles FC |
DDDLLD |
| New York Red Bulls |
DLDLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Los Angeles FC and New York Red Bulls going into this match
Los Angeles FC record
- They have won 10 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
New York Red Bulls record
- They have won 7 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
2Los Angeles FC wins
1Draws
1New York Red Bulls wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-21 | Los Angeles FC | New York Red Bulls | Major League Soccer | 2-2 |
| 2022-06-26 | Los Angeles FC | New York Red Bulls | Major League Soccer | 2-0 |
| 2019-08-12 | Los Angeles FC | New York Red Bulls | Major League Soccer | 4-2 |
| 2018-08-05 | New York Red Bulls | Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 67.1%, draw 18.4%, away 14.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.39 | 5.10 | 6.40 |
| 888Sport | 1.40 | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 5.25 | 7.00 |
| Betano | 1.42 | 5.40 | 7.30 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 5.00 | 6.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.39 | 5.60 | 7.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.38 | 5.20 | 6.45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.40 | 5.43 | 6.73 |
| SBO | 1.36 | 4.84 | 5.99 |
| Superbet | 1.39 | 5.40 | 6.70 |
| Unibet | 1.40 | 5.00 | 6.25 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.80 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.40 —
X
5.10 ▲ +0.10
2
6.50 ▲ +0.10
4 snapshots recorded, from .