Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 23

Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC

2 – 2 Full time

14′D. Bouanga
18′S. Lobjanidze
30′Juan Jose Arias
39′Son Heung-Min
60′Luca Moisa
67′J. J. AriasD. Yedlin
67′S. LobjanidzeA. Hezarkhani
70′L. MoisaC. Guske
75′N. Caliskan
77′Colin Guske
83′T. BoydA. Sieb
83′J. ShaffelburgR. Raposo
89′S. SolansJ. Shokalook

America First Field, SandyReferee: Allen Chapman, USA

Real Salt Lake 33%
Draw 32%
Los Angeles FC 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Match stats

22 Shots 17
9 Shots on target 5
58 Possession % 42
5 Corners 8
5 Fouls 7
2 Saves 7
553 Accurate passes 391

Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityReal Salt LakeDrawLos Angeles FC
Model33.2%32.2%34.5%
Market———
Final33.2%32.2%34.5%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Real Salt Lake ↓ / Los Angeles FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 11% 1 11% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 36%
No goals 13%

Real Salt Lake and Los Angeles FC expected goals

Real Salt Lake 1.06
Los Angeles FC 1.09

Total expected goals: 2.15

Real Salt Lake and Los Angeles FC attack and defence ratings

Real Salt Lake

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Los Angeles FC

Attack 0.77 -23%
Defence 0.66 -34%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC: result vs prediction

Real Salt Lake 2 – 2 Los Angeles FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 23 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Los Angeles FC 34.5% 2.90 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.6% 1.57 — —
Both teams to score No 55.3% 1.81 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 67.8% 1.48 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.5% 1.53 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Real Salt Lake33.2%
Draw32.2%
Los Angeles FC34.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.4%
Under 2.563.6%
Both teams to scoreYes44.7%
No55.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.5%
12 (either side)67.8%
X2 (draw or away)66.8%
Handicap -1Los Angeles FC win14.3%
Push (exactly one goal)20.2%
Loss65.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.8%
0-013.0%
0-111.3%

Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC stats

Real Salt Lake and Los Angeles FC recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Real Salt Lake and Los Angeles FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Real Salt Lake record

  • They have won 8 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 22 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Los Angeles FC record

  • They have won 10 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Real Salt Lake wins 1Draws 6Los Angeles FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-23Los Angeles FCReal Salt LakeMajor League Soccer3-1
2025-09-22Los Angeles FCReal Salt LakeMajor League Soccer4-1
2025-09-18Real Salt LakeLos Angeles FCMajor League Soccer1-4
2024-07-18Los Angeles FCReal Salt LakeMajor League Soccer1-1
2024-03-02Real Salt LakeLos Angeles FCMajor League Soccer3-0
2023-10-02Los Angeles FCReal Salt LakeMajor League Soccer0-1
2023-08-09Los Angeles FCReal Salt LakeLeagues Cup4-0
2023-05-14Real Salt LakeLos Angeles FCMajor League Soccer0-3
2023-01-21Los Angeles FCReal Salt LakeFriendlies Clubs0-2
2022-09-05Los Angeles FCReal Salt LakeMajor League Soccer2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.6%, draw 25.3%, away 38.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.50 3.65 2.54
Bet365 2.80 3.70 2.35
BetVictor 2.70 3.60 2.38
Betano 2.52 3.65 2.62
Betfair 2.45 3.75 2.60
Dafabet 2.50 3.80 2.65
Marathonbet 2.71 3.58 2.36
Pinnacle 2.81 3.72 2.42
SBO 2.35 3.24 2.40
Unibet 2.43 3.60 2.60
William Hill 2.62 3.60 2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.71 ▲ +0.41
X 3.60 ▼ -0.10
2 2.36 ▼ -0.44

23 snapshots recorded, from .