Colorado Rapids
vs
Real Salt Lake
1 – 0 Full time
Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake
| Probability | Colorado Rapids | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.9% | 31.7% | 28.4% |
| Market | 48.8% | 24.5% | 26.6% |
| Final | 46.6% | 26.3% | 27.1% |
| Edge | -8.9% | +7.1% | +1.8% |
Why Colorado Rapids
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Colorado Rapids and Real Salt Lake expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.18
Colorado Rapids and Real Salt Lake attack and defence ratings
Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake: result vs prediction
Colorado Rapids 1 – 0 Real Salt Lake
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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Before and after this match
Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colorado Rapids | 46.6% | 2.15 | -8.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.7% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colorado Rapids | 46.6% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| Real Salt Lake | 27.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.0% |
| No | 55.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Colorado Rapids win | 17.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 60.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 12.6% | |
| 1-0 | 12.3% |
Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake stats
Colorado Rapids and Real Salt Lake recent form
| Colorado Rapids |
LWWWLW |
| Real Salt Lake |
LLLDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Colorado Rapids and Real Salt Lake going into this match
Colorado Rapids record
- They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Real Salt Lake record
- They have won 8 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Real Salt Lake | Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-05 | Real Salt Lake | Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-18 | Colorado Rapids | Real Salt Lake | Major League Soccer | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.8%, draw 24.5%, away 26.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.90 | 3.85 | 3.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.70 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.70 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.90 | 3.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.96 | 3.90 | 3.65 |
| Marathonbet | 1.90 | 3.70 | 3.62 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 3.79 | 3.71 |
| Unibet | 1.96 | 3.80 | 3.35 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.80 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .