Seattle Sounders
vs
Chicago Fire
2 – 2 Full time
Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire
| Probability | Seattle Sounders | Draw | Chicago Fire |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.7% | 26.0% | 51.2% |
| Market | 34.2% | 24.7% | 41.1% |
| Final | 31.3% | 25.1% | 43.6% |
| Edge | -11.4% | +1.3% | +10.2% |
Why Chicago Fire
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 1.09.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Chicago Fire below the model: +10.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Seattle Sounders and Chicago Fire expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.81
Seattle Sounders and Chicago Fire attack and defence ratings
Seattle Sounders
Chicago Fire
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire: result vs prediction
Seattle Sounders 2 – 2 Chicago Fire
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 22 fixtures
- Toronto FC v New York City FC — match page
- New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union — team news & stats
- Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte
- DC United vs Los Angeles FC — team news & stats
- Inter Miami vs CF Montreal
- Houston Dynamo v San Jose Earthquakes — match page
- Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps — team news & stats
- Minnesota United FC vs Orlando City SC
Before and after this match
Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chicago Fire | 43.6% | 2.29 | +10.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.3% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.9% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Seattle Sounders | 31.3% |
| Draw | 25.1% | |
| Chicago Fire | 43.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.6% |
| No | 44.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Chicago Fire win | 28.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 48.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 1-2 | 9.7% | |
| 0-1 | 9.2% |
Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire stats
Seattle Sounders and Chicago Fire recent form
| Seattle Sounders |
DLLLWL |
| Chicago Fire |
LDWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Seattle Sounders and Chicago Fire going into this match
Seattle Sounders record
- They have won 7 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Chicago Fire record
- They have won 11 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.2%, draw 24.7%, away 41.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.70 | 3.80 | 2.28 |
| Bet365 | 2.88 | 3.70 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.60 | 2.25 |
| Betano | 2.77 | 3.90 | 2.30 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 3.80 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.85 | 3.90 | 2.31 |
| Marathonbet | 2.72 | 3.82 | 2.26 |
| Pinnacle | 2.76 | 3.97 | 2.30 |
| SBO | 2.60 | 3.31 | 2.15 |
| Superbet | 2.82 | 3.85 | 2.30 |
| Unibet | 2.75 | 3.60 | 2.32 |
| William Hill | 2.70 | 3.70 | 2.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .