Minnesota United FC
vs
Orlando City SC
3 – 3 Full time
Minnesota United FC vs Orlando City SC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Minnesota United FC vs Orlando City SC
| Probability | Minnesota United FC | Draw | Orlando City SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.8% | 23.9% | 26.3% |
| Market | 53.4% | 22.7% | 23.9% |
| Final | 52.5% | 23.0% | 24.5% |
| Edge | -3.6% | +1.2% | +2.4% |
Why Minnesota United FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 1.39.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Minnesota United FC and Orlando City SC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.34
Minnesota United FC and Orlando City SC attack and defence ratings
Minnesota United FC
Orlando City SC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Minnesota United FC vs Orlando City SC: result vs prediction
Minnesota United FC 3 – 3 Orlando City SC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 22 fixtures
- Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire
- Toronto FC v New York City FC — match page
- New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union — team news & stats
- Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte
- DC United vs Los Angeles FC — team news & stats
- Inter Miami vs CF Montreal
- Houston Dynamo v San Jose Earthquakes — match page
- Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Minnesota United FC vs Orlando City SC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Minnesota United FC | 52.5% | 1.91 | -3.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Minnesota United FC | 52.5% |
| Draw | 23.0% | |
| Orlando City SC | 24.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.3% |
| No | 34.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Minnesota United FC win | 29.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 50.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 2-0 | 6.8% |
Minnesota United FC vs Orlando City SC stats
Minnesota United FC and Orlando City SC recent form
| Minnesota United FC |
WLDWDL |
| Orlando City SC |
WLDDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Minnesota United FC and Orlando City SC going into this match
Minnesota United FC record
- They have won 7 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Orlando City SC record
- They have won 8 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 23 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Minnesota United FC vs Orlando City SC head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Minnesota United FC vs Orlando City SC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 53.4%, draw 22.7%, away 23.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.73 | 4.10 | 4.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 3.90 | 3.70 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 4.15 | 4.15 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 4.20 | 3.90 |
| Dafabet | 1.81 | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.77 | 4.10 | 3.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.80 | 4.13 | 3.90 |
| Unibet | 1.83 | 3.90 | 3.70 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 4.20 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .