Orlando City SC
vs
Real Salt Lake
2 – 1 Full time
Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake
| Probability | Orlando City SC | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.4% | 23.1% | 36.4% |
| Market | 47.4% | 23.6% | 29.0% |
| Final | 45.7% | 23.5% | 30.9% |
| Edge | -7.0% | -0.5% | +7.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Orlando City SC and Real Salt Lake expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.74
Orlando City SC and Real Salt Lake attack and defence ratings
Orlando City SC
Real Salt Lake
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake: result vs prediction
Orlando City SC 2 – 1 Real Salt Lake
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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Before and after this match
Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Orlando City SC | 45.7% | 2.19 | -7.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Orlando City SC | 45.7% |
| Draw | 23.5% | |
| Real Salt Lake | 30.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 27.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.3% |
| No | 27.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Orlando City SC win | 22.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.0% | |
| Loss | 59.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.1% |
| 2-1 | 8.0% | |
| 1-2 | 7.6% |
Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake stats
Orlando City SC and Real Salt Lake recent form
| Orlando City SC |
LDDLWL |
| Real Salt Lake |
LDWWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Orlando City SC and Real Salt Lake going into this match
Orlando City SC record
- They have won 8 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 23 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Real Salt Lake record
- They have won 8 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.4%, draw 23.6%, away 29.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.28 | 3.95 | 2.65 |
| 888Sport | 1.85 | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 3.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.07 | 4.20 | 3.25 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 4.10 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.01 | 4.10 | 3.35 |
| Marathonbet | 1.97 | 4.00 | 3.18 |
| Pinnacle | 2.02 | 4.28 | 3.28 |
| SBO | 1.99 | 3.69 | 2.99 |
| Superbet | 2.00 | 4.00 | 3.30 |
| Unibet | 1.90 | 3.95 | 3.40 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 4.00 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .