Major League Soccer
·
Full time
·Matchday 21
Charlotte
vs
DC United
3 – 1 Full time
Charlotte
55%
Draw
24%
DC United
21%
Charlotte vs DC United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Charlotte vs DC United
| Probability | Charlotte | Draw | DC United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.7% | 21.2% | 18.1% |
| Market | 53.4% | 24.3% | 22.3% |
| Final | 55.3% | 23.5% | 21.2% |
| Edge | +7.3% | -3.1% | -4.2% |
Why Charlotte
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.26 vs 1.18.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Charlotte below the model: +7.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
87%
3+ goals
67%
No goals
4%
Charlotte and DC United expected goals
Charlotte
2.26
DC United
1.18
Total expected goals: 3.44
Charlotte and DC United attack and defence ratings
Charlotte
Attack
1.13 +13%
Defence
0.86 -14%
DC United
Attack
1.01 +1%
Defence
1.16 +16%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Charlotte vs DC United: result vs prediction
Charlotte 3 – 1 DC United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 21 fixtures
- Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake
- New York Red Bulls v Chicago Fire — match page
- CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy — team news & stats
- FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders
- Inter Miami v Toronto FC — match page
- Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew
- St. Louis City v Houston Dynamo — match page
- Austin vs Philadelphia Union — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Charlotte vs DC United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Charlotte | 55.3% | 1.81 | +7.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.3% | 2.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Charlotte | 55.3% |
| Draw | 23.5% | |
| DC United | 21.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.0% |
| No | 37.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Charlotte win | 39.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 39.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.7% |
| 1-1 | 9.4% | |
| 2-0 | 8.2% |
Charlotte vs DC United stats
Charlotte and DC United recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Charlotte and DC United going into this match
Charlotte record
- They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 23 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
DC United record
- They have won 5 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 22 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Charlotte vs DC United head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
6Charlotte wins
2Draws
1DC United wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-04 | DC United | Charlotte | Major League Soccer | 0-1 |
| 2025-07-16 | Charlotte | DC United | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-21 | DC United | Charlotte | US Open Cup | 2-2 |
| 2024-10-20 | DC United | Charlotte | Major League Soccer | 0-3 |
| 2024-06-15 | Charlotte | DC United | Major League Soccer | 1-0 |
| 2023-09-16 | Charlotte | DC United | Major League Soccer | 0-0 |
| 2023-04-29 | DC United | Charlotte | Major League Soccer | 3-0 |
| 2023-02-01 | DC United | Charlotte | Friendlies Clubs | 2-3 |
| 2022-08-03 | Charlotte | DC United | Major League Soccer | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Charlotte vs DC United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.9%, draw 24.4%, away 22.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.84 | 3.75 | 3.80 |
| 888Sport | 1.83 | 3.80 | 3.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.80 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.73 | 3.90 | 4.20 |
| Betano | 1.82 | 3.95 | 4.55 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 4.00 | 4.10 |
| Dafabet | 1.83 | 3.85 | 4.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.73 | 3.84 | 4.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78 | 3.99 | 4.49 |
| SBO | 1.80 | 3.53 | 3.73 |
| Superbet | 1.82 | 3.85 | 4.15 |
| Unibet | 1.75 | 3.85 | 4.10 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.60 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.75 ▼ -0.02
X
3.85 —
2
4.20 ▲ +0.05
2 snapshots recorded, from .