Austin
vs
Philadelphia Union
1 – 1 Full time
Austin vs Philadelphia Union overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Austin vs Philadelphia Union
| Probability | Austin | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.7% | 24.5% | 31.8% |
| Market | 29.4% | 25.8% | 44.8% |
| Final | 33.0% | 25.5% | 41.6% |
| Edge | +14.3% | -1.3% | -13.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Austin and Philadelphia Union expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.36
Austin and Philadelphia Union attack and defence ratings
Austin
Philadelphia Union
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Austin vs Philadelphia Union: result vs prediction
Austin 1 – 1 Philadelphia Union
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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- FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders
- Inter Miami v Toronto FC — match page
- Charlotte vs DC United — team news & stats
- Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew
- St. Louis City v Houston Dynamo — match page
Before and after this match
Austin vs Philadelphia Union markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Philadelphia Union | 41.6% | 2.41 | -13.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Austin | 33.0% |
| Draw | 25.5% | |
| Philadelphia Union | 41.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.8% |
| No | 33.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Philadelphia Union win | 15.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.3% | |
| Loss | 68.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.7% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 1-2 | 7.5% |
Austin vs Philadelphia Union stats
Austin and Philadelphia Union recent form
| Austin |
WLDWWL |
| Philadelphia Union |
DWLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Austin and Philadelphia Union going into this match
Austin record
- They have won 6 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 23 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Philadelphia Union record
- They have won 7 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Austin vs Philadelphia Union head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Austin vs Philadelphia Union odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 29.4%, draw 25.8%, away 44.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.10 | 3.65 | 2.12 |
| 888Sport | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.05 |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 3.60 | 2.10 |
| BetVictor | 3.20 | 3.70 | 2.05 |
| Betano | 3.20 | 3.70 | 2.12 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 3.80 | 2.10 |
| Dafabet | 3.25 | 3.70 | 2.16 |
| Marathonbet | 3.24 | 3.65 | 2.04 |
| Pinnacle | 3.37 | 3.83 | 2.07 |
| SBO | 3.06 | 3.38 | 2.05 |
| Superbet | 3.20 | 3.65 | 2.15 |
| Unibet | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.16 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.05 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .