St. Louis City
vs
Houston Dynamo
2 – 1 Full time
St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo
| Probability | St. Louis City | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.2% | 32.9% | 35.0% |
| Market | 44.8% | 26.9% | 28.3% |
| Final | 41.6% | 28.4% | 30.0% |
| Edge | -12.6% | +6.0% | +6.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
St. Louis City and Houston Dynamo expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.08
St. Louis City and Houston Dynamo attack and defence ratings
St. Louis City
Houston Dynamo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo: result vs prediction
St. Louis City 2 – 1 Houston Dynamo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
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Before and after this match
St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | St. Louis City | 41.6% | 2.40 | -12.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.0% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.8% | 1.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | St. Louis City | 41.6% |
| Draw | 28.4% | |
| Houston Dynamo | 30.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.0% |
| No | 57.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | St. Louis City win | 12.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.5% | |
| Loss | 67.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.9% |
| 0-0 | 13.9% | |
| 0-1 | 12.0% |
St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo stats
St. Louis City and Houston Dynamo recent form
| St. Louis City |
DWDWWW |
| Houston Dynamo |
WWWWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
St. Louis City and Houston Dynamo going into this match
St. Louis City record
- They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Houston Dynamo record
- They have won 12 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | St. Louis City | Houston Dynamo | US Open Cup | 2-2 |
| 2025-08-31 | St. Louis City | Houston Dynamo | Major League Soccer | 2-3 |
| 2025-06-29 | Houston Dynamo | St. Louis City | Major League Soccer | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.8%, draw 26.9%, away 28.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.02 | 3.65 | 3.35 |
| 888Sport | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.55 | 3.35 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.70 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.18 | 3.55 | 3.35 |
| Marathonbet | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.32 |
| Pinnacle | 2.19 | 3.53 | 3.35 |
| SBO | 2.08 | 3.26 | 3.12 |
| Superbet | 2.17 | 3.50 | 3.30 |
| Unibet | 2.08 | 3.40 | 3.35 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .