Major League Soccer
·
Full time
·Matchday 22
St. Louis City
vs
FC Dallas
3 – 3 Full time
| 3′ | S. Becher | ||
| 14′ | Ramiro | ||
| 18′ | S. Moore | ||
| 43′ | D. Edelman | ||
| 59′ | A. MatanC. Holse | ||
| 59′ | H. JohanssonC. Cappis | ||
| 59′ | S. MorenoR. Binyamin | ||
| 64′ | C. Holse | ||
| 68′ | RamiroL. Farrington | ||
| 69′ | B. KamungoN. Norris | ||
| 72′ | S. JeongZ. Zengue | ||
| 81′ | S. Ibeagha | ||
| 88′ | J. OrozcoL. MacNaughton | ||
| 89′ | Petar Musa | ||
| 89′ | KaickS. Sarver | ||
| 90′ | Lukas MacNaughton | ||
| 90′ | L. Farrington |
St. Louis City
51%
Draw
24%
FC Dallas
25%
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 53 | Possession % | 47 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 2 |
| 422 | Accurate passes | 367 |
St. Louis City vs FC Dallas overview
Garuda Lions analysis: St. Louis City vs FC Dallas
| Probability | St. Louis City | Draw | FC Dallas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64.5% | 20.4% | 15.1% |
| Market | 46.7% | 25.5% | 27.8% |
| Final | 51.1% | 24.3% | 24.6% |
| Edge | +17.9% | -5.1% | -12.7% |
Why St. Louis City
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.30 vs 1.05.
- The market prices St. Louis City below the model: +17.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
86%
3+ goals
65%
No goals
4%
St. Louis City and FC Dallas expected goals
St. Louis City
2.30
FC Dallas
1.05
Total expected goals: 3.35
St. Louis City and FC Dallas attack and defence ratings
St. Louis City
Attack
1.15 +15%
Defence
0.75 -25%
FC Dallas
Attack
1.03 +3%
Defence
1.16 +16%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
St. Louis City vs FC Dallas: result vs prediction
St. Louis City 3 – 3 FC Dallas
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 22 fixtures
- Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire
- Toronto FC v New York City FC — match page
- New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union — team news & stats
- Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte
- DC United vs Los Angeles FC — team news & stats
- Inter Miami vs CF Montreal
- Houston Dynamo v San Jose Earthquakes — match page
- Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps — team news & stats
Before and after this match
St. Louis City vs FC Dallas markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | St. Louis City | 51.1% | 1.96 | +17.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | St. Louis City win | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | St. Louis City | 51.1% |
| Draw | 24.3% | |
| FC Dallas | 24.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.3% |
| No | 40.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | St. Louis City win | 42.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 35.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.7% |
| 1-1 | 9.3% | |
| 2-0 | 9.3% |
St. Louis City vs FC Dallas stats
St. Louis City and FC Dallas recent form
| St. Louis City |
WDWDWW |
| FC Dallas |
LWWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
St. Louis City and FC Dallas going into this match
St. Louis City record
- They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Dallas record
- They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
St. Louis City vs FC Dallas head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
2St. Louis City wins
3Draws
3FC Dallas wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | FC Dallas | St. Louis City | Major League Soccer | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-07 | St. Louis City | FC Dallas | Major League Soccer | 1-1 |
| 2025-07-20 | FC Dallas | St. Louis City | Major League Soccer | 3-0 |
| 2024-07-28 | St. Louis City | FC Dallas | Leagues Cup | 2-1 |
| 2024-06-16 | FC Dallas | St. Louis City | Major League Soccer | 2-0 |
| 2024-04-07 | St. Louis City | FC Dallas | Major League Soccer | 0-0 |
| 2023-08-31 | St. Louis City | FC Dallas | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
| 2023-06-08 | FC Dallas | St. Louis City | Major League Soccer | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
St. Louis City vs FC Dallas odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.7%, draw 25.5%, away 27.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.97 | 3.75 | 3.35 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.75 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.70 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.05 | 3.75 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.70 | 3.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.09 | 3.70 | 3.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.99 | 3.58 | 3.44 |
| Pinnacle | 2.08 | 3.73 | 3.50 |
| SBO | 1.94 | 3.46 | 3.29 |
| Superbet | 2.07 | 3.65 | 3.35 |
| Unibet | 1.94 | 3.70 | 3.50 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.02 ▲ +0.12
X
3.70 ▼ -0.10
2
3.40 ▼ -0.24
12 snapshots recorded, from .