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Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 23

Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis City

1 – 3 Full time

3′E. Sabbi
23′S. Becher
26′Thomas Müller
36′Conrad Wallem
41′T. Totland
45′C. Wallem
46′J. BadwalO. Larraz
46′R. ElloumiB. White
46′M. GherasimencovC. Sabaly
49′Mathías Laborda
50′Emmanuel Sabbi
59′E. SabbiR. Gauld
62′C. HolseRafael Navarro
71′Ryan Gauld
80′S. BecherS. Jeong
82′A. CubasY. Diaby
84′Christopher Durkin
90′Fallou Fall
90′C. DurkinF. Fall
90′T. TotlandD. Downs

BC Place, VancouverReferee: Michael Venne, Canada

Vancouver Whitecaps 47%
Draw 26%
St. Louis City 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 6
47 Possession % 53
6 Corners 2
18 Fouls 18
0 Offsides 2
3 Saves 2
360 Accurate passes 433

Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis City overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis City

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVancouver WhitecapsDrawSt. Louis City
Model46.8%26.4%26.7%
Market———
Final46.8%26.4%26.7%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Vancouver Whitecaps

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 1.21.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Vancouver Whit ↓ / St. Louis City → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 8% 12% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

Vancouver Whitecaps and St. Louis City expected goals

Vancouver Whitecaps 1.67
St. Louis City 1.21

Total expected goals: 2.88

Vancouver Whitecaps and St. Louis City attack and defence ratings

Vancouver Whitecaps

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 0.73 -27%

St. Louis City

Attack 1.22 +22%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis City: result vs prediction

Vancouver Whitecaps 1 – 3 St. Louis City

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 23 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis City markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Vancouver Whitecaps 46.8% 2.14 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.0% 1.82 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.2% 1.72 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.6% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.1% 1.88 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Vancouver Whitecaps46.8%
Draw26.4%
St. Louis City26.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.0%
Under 2.545.0%
Both teams to scoreYes58.2%
No41.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.3%
12 (either side)73.6%
X2 (draw or away)53.2%
Handicap -1Vancouver Whitecaps win25.5%
Push (exactly one goal)21.5%
Loss53.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.5%
2-19.5%
1-08.2%

Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis City stats

Vancouver Whitecaps and St. Louis City recent form

newest first
Vancouver Whitecaps WWLWDL
St. Louis City DWDWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Vancouver Whitecaps and St. Louis City going into this match

league record before kick-off

Vancouver Whitecaps record

  • They have won 13 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 22 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).

St. Louis City record

  • They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 23 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis City head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

4Vancouver Whitecaps wins 2Draws 1St. Louis City wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-08-24Vancouver WhitecapsSt. Louis CityMajor League Soccer3-2
2025-04-20St. Louis CityVancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer0-0
2024-07-14St. Louis CityVancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer1-4
2024-06-30Vancouver WhitecapsSt. Louis CityMajor League Soccer4-3
2023-10-05Vancouver WhitecapsSt. Louis CityMajor League Soccer3-0
2023-05-28St. Louis CityVancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer3-1
2023-02-12Vancouver WhitecapsSt. Louis CityFriendlies Clubs0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis City odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 65.2%, draw 19.6%, away 15.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.43 4.85 6.20
Bet365 1.48 4.75 6.25
BetVictor 1.45 4.75 6.00
Betano 1.44 4.90 6.50
Betfair 1.36 5.00 7.00
Dafabet 1.44 5.20 6.40
Marathonbet 1.46 4.65 5.80
Pinnacle 1.51 4.79 5.79
SBO 1.36 4.34 5.61
Unibet 1.36 5.00 7.50
William Hill 1.44 4.75 5.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.46 ▲ +0.06
X 4.75 ▼ -0.10
2 5.80 ▼ -0.70

23 snapshots recorded, from .