Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 22

Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps

0 – 3 Full time

Children's Mercy Park, Kansas CityReferee: Marcos de Oliveira, USA

Sporting Kansas City 15%
Draw 20%
Vancouver Whitecaps 65%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySporting Kansas CityDrawVancouver Whitecaps
Model16.1%23.3%60.6%
Market14.7%18.7%66.7%
Final15.0%19.8%65.1%
Edge+1.5%+4.6%-6.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Vancouver Whitecaps

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 0.93.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sporting Kansa ↓ / Vancouver Whit → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 10% 11% 7% 1 11% 10% 7% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

Sporting Kansas City and Vancouver Whitecaps expected goals

Sporting Kansas City 0.93
Vancouver Whitecaps 1.97

Total expected goals: 2.90

Sporting Kansas City and Vancouver Whitecaps attack and defence ratings

Sporting Kansas City

Attack 0.68 -32%
Defence 1.34 +34%

Vancouver Whitecaps

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps: result vs prediction

Sporting Kansas City 0 – 3 Vancouver Whitecaps

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 22 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Vancouver Whitecaps 65.1% 1.54 -6.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.5% 1.80 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.2% 1.88 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 85.0% 1.18 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 39.4% 2.54 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sporting Kansas City15.0%
Draw19.8%
Vancouver Whitecaps65.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.5%
Under 2.544.5%
Both teams to scoreYes53.2%
No46.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)34.9%
12 (either side)80.2%
X2 (draw or away)85.0%
Handicap -1Vancouver Whitecaps win37.3%
Push (exactly one goal)23.3%
Loss39.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.1%
0-210.7%
1-29.9%

Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps stats

Sporting Kansas City and Vancouver Whitecaps recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sporting Kansas City and Vancouver Whitecaps going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sporting Kansas City record

  • They have won 4 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 22 matches.

Vancouver Whitecaps record

  • They have won 13 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 22 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).

Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

0Sporting Kansas City wins 0Draws 3Vancouver Whitecaps wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-18Vancouver WhitecapsSporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer3-0
2025-09-21Sporting Kansas CityVancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer0-2
2025-07-27Vancouver WhitecapsSporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 14.7%, draw 18.7%, away 66.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 5.90 5.10 1.42
Bet365 7.00 4.75 1.38
BetVictor 6.00 4.60 1.40
Betano 6.90 5.20 1.40
Betfair 7.00 5.00 1.33
Dafabet 6.60 5.20 1.44
Marathonbet 6.40 4.95 1.40
Pinnacle 6.32 5.15 1.42
Unibet 6.25 4.75 1.44
William Hill 6.00 5.00 1.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 6.36 ▼ -0.26
X 5.00 —
2 1.40 —

11 snapshots recorded, from .