Major League Soccer
·
Full time
·Matchday 22
Houston Dynamo
vs
San Jose Earthquakes
0 – 0 Full time
Houston Dynamo
60%
Draw
22%
San Jose Earthquakes
18%
Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes
| Probability | Houston Dynamo | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73.8% | 17.3% | 8.9% |
| Market | 55.4% | 23.1% | 21.5% |
| Final | 60.0% | 21.7% | 18.3% |
| Edge | +18.4% | -5.8% | -12.6% |
Why Houston Dynamo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.45 vs 0.76.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Houston Dynamo below the model: +18.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
84%
3+ goals
62%
No goals
5%
Houston Dynamo and San Jose Earthquakes expected goals
Houston Dynamo
2.45
San Jose Earthquakes
0.76
Total expected goals: 3.22
Houston Dynamo and San Jose Earthquakes attack and defence ratings
Houston Dynamo
Attack
0.96 -4%
Defence
0.61 -39%
San Jose Earthquakes
Attack
0.92 -8%
Defence
1.49 +49%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes: result vs prediction
Houston Dynamo 0 – 0 San Jose Earthquakes
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 22 fixtures
- Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire
- Toronto FC v New York City FC — match page
- New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union — team news & stats
- Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte
- DC United vs Los Angeles FC — team news & stats
- Inter Miami vs CF Montreal
- Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps — team news & stats
- Minnesota United FC vs Orlando City SC
Before and after this match
Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Houston Dynamo | 60.0% | 1.67 | +18.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Houston Dynamo win | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Houston Dynamo | 60.0% |
| Draw | 21.7% | |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 18.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.6% |
| No | 50.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Houston Dynamo win | 52.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 26.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.1% |
| 3-0 | 9.9% | |
| 2-1 | 9.2% |
Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes stats
Houston Dynamo and San Jose Earthquakes recent form
| Houston Dynamo |
LWWWWW |
| San Jose Earthquakes |
LLLLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Houston Dynamo and San Jose Earthquakes going into this match
Houston Dynamo record
- They have won 12 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
San Jose Earthquakes record
- They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
5Houston Dynamo wins
2Draws
2San Jose Earthquakes wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-24 | Houston Dynamo | San Jose Earthquakes | Major League Soccer | 1-2 |
| 2025-05-25 | San Jose Earthquakes | Houston Dynamo | Major League Soccer | 3-3 |
| 2024-07-18 | San Jose Earthquakes | Houston Dynamo | Major League Soccer | 0-1 |
| 2024-03-31 | Houston Dynamo | San Jose Earthquakes | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
| 2023-06-22 | Houston Dynamo | San Jose Earthquakes | Major League Soccer | 4-1 |
| 2023-04-02 | San Jose Earthquakes | Houston Dynamo | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
| 2022-07-18 | San Jose Earthquakes | Houston Dynamo | Major League Soccer | 1-2 |
| 2022-04-10 | Houston Dynamo | San Jose Earthquakes | Major League Soccer | 4-3 |
| 2021-07-25 | San Jose Earthquakes | Houston Dynamo | Major League Soccer | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.4%, draw 23.1%, away 21.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.66 | 4.10 | 4.45 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 4.10 | 4.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.10 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 4.05 | 4.65 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 4.20 | 4.33 |
| Dafabet | 1.71 | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.72 | 3.78 | 4.45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.72 | 3.83 | 4.68 |
| Unibet | 1.70 | 4.10 | 4.20 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.70 ▲ +0.03
X
4.07 ▼ -0.03
2
4.39 ▼ -0.01
11 snapshots recorded, from .