Major League Soccer
·
Full time
·Matchday 23
Austin
vs
San Jose Earthquakes
1 – 1 Full time
| 8′ | B. Leroux | ||
| 61′ | O. SvatokJ. Bell | ||
| 61′ | J. GallagherZ. Kolmanic | ||
| 65′ | Reid Roberts | ||
| 69′ | O. BoudaP. Judd | ||
| 70′ | J. AlastueyC. Ramirez | ||
| 70′ | J. RosalesP. Placheta | ||
| 75′ | M. DeslerB. Hines-Ike | ||
| 81′ | J. RickettsVitor Costa | ||
| 81′ | B. KikanovicJ. Jasinski | ||
| 81′ | N. TsakirisI. Harkes | ||
| 87′ | Brad Stuver | ||
| 88′ | E. LowenN. Fernandez | ||
| 90′ | Guilherme Biro |
Austin
59%
Draw
23%
San Jose Earthquakes
18%
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 53 | Possession % | 47 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 418 | Accurate passes | 359 |
Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes
| Probability | Austin | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58.9% | 23.4% | 17.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 58.9% | 23.4% | 17.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Austin
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.99 vs 1.01.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
81%
3+ goals
58%
No goals
6%
Austin and San Jose Earthquakes expected goals
Austin
1.99
San Jose Earthquakes
1.01
Total expected goals: 3.00
Austin and San Jose Earthquakes attack and defence ratings
Austin
Attack
0.85 -15%
Defence
0.95 -5%
San Jose Earthquakes
Attack
0.79 -21%
Defence
1.35 +35%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes: result vs prediction
Austin 1 – 1 San Jose Earthquakes
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 23 fixtures
- New York City FC vs Nashville SC
- Orlando City SC v San Diego — match page
- Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal — team news & stats
- Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire
- Columbus Crew v Colorado Rapids — match page
- Inter Miami vs Atlanta United FC
- Charlotte v Houston Dynamo — match page
- Seattle Sounders vs New York Red Bulls — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Austin | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Austin | 58.9% |
| Draw | 23.4% | |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 17.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.0% |
| No | 44.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Austin win | 36.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 41.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.0% |
| 2-1 | 10.0% | |
| 2-0 | 9.8% |
Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes stats
Austin and San Jose Earthquakes recent form
| Austin |
WLDWLD |
| San Jose Earthquakes |
DLLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Austin and San Jose Earthquakes going into this match
Austin record
- They have won 6 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 23 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
San Jose Earthquakes record
- They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Austin wins
6Draws
2San Jose Earthquakes wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-23 | San Jose Earthquakes | Austin | Major League Soccer | 5-1 |
| 2025-10-19 | San Jose Earthquakes | Austin | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Austin | San Jose Earthquakes | Major League Soccer | 3-1 |
| 2025-07-09 | San Jose Earthquakes | Austin | US Open Cup | 1-1 |
| 2024-05-26 | San Jose Earthquakes | Austin | Major League Soccer | 1-1 |
| 2024-04-07 | Austin | San Jose Earthquakes | Major League Soccer | 4-3 |
| 2023-10-22 | San Jose Earthquakes | Austin | Major League Soccer | 1-1 |
| 2023-04-30 | Austin | San Jose Earthquakes | Major League Soccer | 2-2 |
| 2022-08-07 | Austin | San Jose Earthquakes | Major League Soccer | 3-3 |
| 2022-04-03 | San Jose Earthquakes | Austin | Major League Soccer | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.7%, draw 25.4%, away 31.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.28 | 3.80 | 2.70 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.75 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.75 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.22 | 3.75 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.70 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.24 | 3.85 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.20 | 3.58 | 2.95 |
| Pinnacle | 2.28 | 3.66 | 3.06 |
| SBO | 2.05 | 3.36 | 2.74 |
| Unibet | 2.25 | 3.65 | 2.80 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.20 ▼ -0.02
X
3.66 ▼ -0.14
2
2.95 ▲ +0.15
23 snapshots recorded, from .