Major League Soccer
·
Full time
·Matchday 24
Austin
vs
Colorado Rapids
1 – 1 Full time
| 22′ | Paxten Aaronson | ||
| 27′ | Youssef MazizJoshua Atencio | ||
| 45′ | Joshua Atencio | ||
| 45′ | Ilie SánchezJorge Alastuey | ||
| 58′ | Jon GallagherŽan Kolmanič | ||
| 58′ | Brandon VazquezChristian Ramirez | ||
| 62′ | Reggie Cannon | ||
| 69′ | Donavan PhillipGeorgi Minoungou | ||
| 79′ | Facundo Daniel Torres Perez | ||
| 82′ | Besard SabovicPrzemyslaw Płacheta | ||
| 86′ | Darren YapiAlexander Dean Harris | ||
| 86′ | Miguel NavarroJackson Travis |
Austin
38%
Draw
29%
Colorado Rapids
33%
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 57 | Possession % | 43 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 18 |
| 7 | Offsides | 2 |
| 4 | Saves | 1 |
| 429 | Accurate passes | 422 |
Austin vs Colorado Rapids overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Austin vs Colorado Rapids
| Probability | Austin | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.0% | 34.3% | 24.6% |
| Market | 37.6% | 27.1% | 35.3% |
| Final | 38.4% | 28.9% | 32.6% |
| Edge | +3.4% | +7.2% | -10.7% |
Why Austin
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.08 vs 0.78.
- The market prices Austin below the model: +3.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
83%
2+ goals
57%
3+ goals
28%
No goals
17%
Austin and Colorado Rapids expected goals
Austin
1.08
Colorado Rapids
0.78
Total expected goals: 1.86
Austin and Colorado Rapids attack and defence ratings
Austin
Attack
0.83 -17%
Defence
0.91 -9%
Colorado Rapids
Attack
0.62 -38%
Defence
0.76 -24%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Austin vs Colorado Rapids: result vs prediction
Austin 1 – 1 Colorado Rapids
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 24 fixtures
- Toronto FC v Nashville SC — match page
- Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC
- CF Montreal v Charlotte — match page
- DC United vs Columbus Crew — team news & stats
- Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati
- New York City FC vs New England Revolution — team news & stats
- Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake
- Chicago Fire v Inter Miami — match page
Before and after this match
Austin vs Colorado Rapids markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Austin | 38.4% | 2.60 | +3.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.0% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Austin | 38.4% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| Colorado Rapids | 32.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 28.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 71.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.0% |
| No | 63.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Austin win | 17.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.7% | |
| Loss | 59.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 16.9% |
| 1-0 | 15.6% | |
| 1-1 | 14.4% |
Austin vs Colorado Rapids stats
Austin and Colorado Rapids recent form
| Austin |
DWLDWL |
| Colorado Rapids |
LWLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Austin and Colorado Rapids going into this match
Austin record
- They have won 6 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 23 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Colorado Rapids record
- They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Austin vs Colorado Rapids head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Austin wins
2Draws
5Colorado Rapids wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Colorado Rapids | Austin | Major League Soccer | 1-0 |
| 2025-06-08 | Colorado Rapids | Austin | Major League Soccer | 0-2 |
| 2025-03-09 | Austin | Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer | 0-1 |
| 2024-10-20 | Austin | Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer | 3-2 |
| 2024-06-16 | Colorado Rapids | Austin | Major League Soccer | 2-0 |
| 2023-10-01 | Colorado Rapids | Austin | Major League Soccer | 1-0 |
| 2023-03-26 | Austin | Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer | 1-1 |
| 2022-10-09 | Austin | Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer | 1-1 |
| 2022-07-05 | Colorado Rapids | Austin | Major League Soccer | 2-3 |
| 2021-09-30 | Colorado Rapids | Austin | Major League Soccer | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Austin vs Colorado Rapids odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.6%, draw 27.1%, away 35.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.50 | 3.55 | 2.58 |
| 888Sport | 2.45 | 3.25 | 2.63 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.63 |
| Betano | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.75 |
| Betfair | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.55 | 3.45 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.49 | 3.42 | 2.65 |
| Pinnacle | 2.52 | 3.52 | 2.79 |
| SBO | 2.42 | 3.23 | 2.58 |
| Superbet | 2.52 | 3.40 | 2.77 |
| Unibet | 2.65 | 3.35 | 2.50 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 3.25 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.49 ▲ +0.04
X
3.45 ▼ -0.05
2
2.65 ▲ +0.02
17 snapshots recorded, from .