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Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 25

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin

1 – 2 Full time

28′Christian Ramirez
35′Jon Bell
37′Joseph Rosales
45′Oliver Love Larraz
45′Rui ModestoÉdier Ocampo
46′Guilherme Biro
49′Brian White
58′Jon BellOleksandr Svatok
60′Christian Ramirez
64′Oliver Love LarrazJeevan Badwal
64′Bruno CaicedoEmmanuel Sabbi
65′Joseph RosalesŽan Kolmanič
65′Jorge AlastueyBrandon Vazquez
71′Cheikh SabalyYadaly Diaby
77′Jesper Ingemann Sørensen
80′Emmanuel Sabbi
85′Andrés CubasRayan Elloumi
85′Mikkel DeslerBrendan Hines-Ike
85′Christian RamirezPrzemyslaw Płacheta
90′Guilherme Biro
90′Besard Sabovic

BC Place, VancouverReferee: Victor Rivas, USA

Vancouver Whitecaps 70%
Draw 18%
Austin 12%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

20 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 2
59 Possession % 41
6 Corners 0
16 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 1
0 Saves 5
472 Accurate passes 291

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVancouver WhitecapsDrawAustin
Model56.4%25.8%17.8%
Market74.5%15.6%9.9%
Final70.0%18.1%11.8%
Edge-18.1%+10.2%+7.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Vancouver Whitecaps

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 0.88.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Vancouver Whit ↓ / Austin → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 12% 12% 2 11% 10% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 8%

Vancouver Whitecaps and Austin expected goals

Vancouver Whitecaps 1.73
Austin 0.88

Total expected goals: 2.62

Vancouver Whitecaps and Austin attack and defence ratings

Vancouver Whitecaps

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 0.78 -22%

Austin

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin: result vs prediction

Vancouver Whitecaps 1 – 2 Austin

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 25 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Vancouver Whitecaps 70.0% 1.43 -18.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51.4% 1.95 — —
Both teams to score No 50.6% 1.98 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 88.2% 1.13 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 43.6% 2.29 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Vancouver Whitecaps70.0%
Draw18.1%
Austin11.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.6%
Under 2.551.4%
Both teams to scoreYes49.4%
No50.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)88.2%
12 (either side)81.9%
X2 (draw or away)30.0%
Handicap -1Vancouver Whitecaps win32.4%
Push (exactly one goal)24.1%
Loss43.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.3%
1-011.5%
2-011.0%

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin stats

Vancouver Whitecaps and Austin recent form

newest first
Vancouver Whitecaps WLWWLW
Austin DDWLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Vancouver Whitecaps and Austin going into this match

league record before kick-off

Vancouver Whitecaps record

  • They have won 14 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 23 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Austin record

  • They have won 6 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Vancouver Whitecaps wins 3Draws 1Austin wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-05-18AustinVancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer0-0
2025-04-12Vancouver WhitecapsAustinMajor League Soccer5-1
2024-09-01AustinVancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer0-1
2024-05-05Vancouver WhitecapsAustinMajor League Soccer0-0
2023-07-13Vancouver WhitecapsAustinMajor League Soccer2-1
2023-04-16AustinVancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer0-0
2022-10-02Vancouver WhitecapsAustinMajor League Soccer2-0
2022-04-24AustinVancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer3-0
2021-09-04Vancouver WhitecapsAustinMajor League Soccer2-1
2021-08-19AustinVancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 74.6%, draw 15.6%, away 9.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.26 6.00 8.90
888Sport 1.22 6.00 9.50
Bet365 1.28 6.25 8.50
BetVictor 1.25 6.00 10.00
Betano 1.31 6.30 9.75
Betfair 1.25 6.00 10.50
Dafabet 1.27 6.60 10.00
Marathonbet 1.25 5.95 9.60
Pinnacle 1.28 6.36 9.35
SBO 1.26 5.03 6.66
Unibet 1.23 6.25 10.50
William Hill 1.25 5.80 9.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.25 ▲ +0.02
X 6.00 —
2 9.47 ▼ -0.53

14 snapshots recorded, from .