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Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 25

Inter Miami vs Nashville SC

2 – 2 Full time

4′Sam Surridge
9′Alex Muyl
19′ Reed Baker-Whiting
41′Fricio Caicedo
43′Maxwell Woledzi
56′Alex MuylElias Saad
62′Lionel Messi
66′Ian FrayFacundo Mura
66′Telasco SegoviaMatías Galarza
72′ Reed Baker-WhitingDaniel Lovitz
72′Patrick YazbekEdvard Sandvik Tagseth
81′matthew corcoranBryan Acosta
81′Cristian EspinozaShakur Mohammed
86′Germán Berterame
90′Matías Galarza
90′Sam Surridge

Nu Stadium, MiamiReferee: Guido Gonzales Jr, USA

Inter Miami 44%
Draw 24%
Nashville SC 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 3
62 Possession % 38
4 Corners 3
13 Fouls 18
1 Offsides 1
1 Saves 3
497 Accurate passes 288

Inter Miami vs Nashville SC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Inter Miami vs Nashville SC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityInter MiamiDrawNashville SC
Model38.4%23.4%38.2%
Market45.8%23.6%30.6%
Final44.0%23.5%32.5%
Edge-7.4%-0.2%+7.6%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Inter Miami ↓ / Nashville SC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 8% 5% 2 8% 7% 3 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 71%
No goals 3%

Inter Miami and Nashville SC expected goals

Inter Miami 1.84
Nashville SC 1.84

Total expected goals: 3.68

Inter Miami and Nashville SC attack and defence ratings

Inter Miami

Attack 1.46 +46%
Defence 1.19 +19%

Nashville SC

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 0.73 -27%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Inter Miami vs Nashville SC: result vs prediction

Inter Miami 2 – 2 Nashville SC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 25 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

Inter Miami vs Nashville SC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Inter Miami 44.0% 2.27 -7.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 71.0% 1.41 — —
Both teams to score Yes 71.6% 1.40 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.5% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.6% 1.62 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Inter Miami44.0%
Draw23.5%
Nashville SC32.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.571.0%
Under 2.529.0%
Both teams to scoreYes71.6%
No28.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.5%
12 (either side)76.5%
X2 (draw or away)56.0%
Handicap -1Inter Miami win20.8%
Push (exactly one goal)17.6%
Loss61.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.4%
2-17.9%
1-27.9%

Inter Miami vs Nashville SC stats

Inter Miami and Nashville SC recent form

newest first
Inter Miami DDWLDL
Nashville SC LDWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Inter Miami and Nashville SC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Inter Miami record

  • They have won 12 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 2.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

Nashville SC record

  • They have won 16 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Inter Miami vs Nashville SC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Inter Miami wins 2Draws 2Nashville SC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-16Nashville SCInter MiamiMajor League Soccer4-1
2026-03-18Inter MiamiNashville SCCONCACAF Champions League1-1
2026-03-11Nashville SCInter MiamiCONCACAF Champions League0-0
2025-11-09Inter MiamiNashville SCMajor League Soccer4-0
2025-11-01Nashville SCInter MiamiMajor League Soccer2-1
2025-10-25Inter MiamiNashville SCMajor League Soccer3-1
2025-10-18Nashville SCInter MiamiMajor League Soccer2-5
2025-07-12Inter MiamiNashville SCMajor League Soccer2-1
2024-06-30Nashville SCInter MiamiMajor League Soccer1-2
2024-04-20Inter MiamiNashville SCMajor League Soccer3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Inter Miami vs Nashville SC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.1%, draw 23.6%, away 30.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.84 4.10 3.50
888Sport 1.80 3.90 3.50
Bet365 2.05 4.10 3.10
BetVictor 2.05 4.00 3.00
Betano 2.15 4.00 3.20
Betfair 2.10 3.90 3.10
Dafabet 1.89 4.20 3.65
Marathonbet 2.03 3.98 3.04
Pinnacle 2.11 4.04 3.15
SBO 2.05 3.68 2.86
Unibet 1.79 4.00 3.75
William Hill 2.05 3.80 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.05 ▲ +0.21
X 3.99 ▼ -0.11
2 3.07 ▼ -0.43

10 snapshots recorded, from .