Garuda Lions
Today
Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 25

Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC

0 – 2 Full time

41′Nicolás Fernández Mercau
57′Juan AriasKobi Henry
57′Luca MoisaColin Guske
61′Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos
64′Alexandros Katranis
67′Sergi SolansLineker Rodrigues
67′Philip QuintonAiden Hezarkhani
69′Lineker Rodrigues
72′Luighi Hanri Sousa SantosBénie Adama Traoré
76′Morgan GuilavoguiTaylor Booth
80′Nico CavalloKevin O'Toole
80′Jonathan ShoreAiden O'Neill
81′Kevin O'Toole
88′Hannes WolfAlonso Martinez
90′Matthew Freese

America First Field, SandyReferee: Abdou Ndiaye, USA

Real Salt Lake 47%
Draw 26%
New York City FC 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 3
52 Possession % 48
10 Corners 1
18 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 0
1 Saves 6
424 Accurate passes 376

Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityReal Salt LakeDrawNew York City FC
Model42.1%28.5%29.4%
Market48.3%25.5%26.2%
Final46.8%26.2%27.0%
Edge-6.2%+3.1%+3.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Real Salt Lake ↓ / New York City → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 7% 1 9% 14% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Real Salt Lake and New York City FC expected goals

Real Salt Lake 1.44
New York City FC 1.17

Total expected goals: 2.61

Real Salt Lake and New York City FC attack and defence ratings

Real Salt Lake

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 1.09 +9%

New York City FC

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC: result vs prediction

Real Salt Lake 0 – 2 New York City FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 25 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Real Salt Lake 46.8% 2.14 -6.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51.6% 1.94 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.8% 1.86 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.8% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.8% 1.73 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Real Salt Lake46.8%
Draw26.2%
New York City FC27.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.4%
Under 2.551.6%
Both teams to scoreYes53.8%
No46.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.0%
12 (either side)73.8%
X2 (draw or away)53.2%
Handicap -1Real Salt Lake win21.0%
Push (exactly one goal)21.2%
Loss57.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.6%
1-09.4%
2-18.9%

Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC stats

Real Salt Lake and New York City FC recent form

newest first
Real Salt Lake LDLLLL
New York City FC LDDDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Real Salt Lake and New York City FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Real Salt Lake record

  • They have won 8 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 23 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

New York City FC record

  • They have won 7 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Real Salt Lake wins 2Draws 2New York City FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-01-24Real Salt LakeNew York City FCFriendlies Clubs2-2
2023-06-11Real Salt LakeNew York City FCMajor League Soccer0-0
2022-04-17New York City FCReal Salt LakeMajor League Soccer6-0
2019-08-04Real Salt LakeNew York City FCMajor League Soccer3-1
2018-04-11New York City FCReal Salt LakeMajor League Soccer4-0
2017-05-18Real Salt LakeNew York City FCMajor League Soccer2-1
2016-06-02New York City FCReal Salt LakeMajor League Soccer2-3
2015-05-24Real Salt LakeNew York City FCMajor League Soccer2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.7%, draw 25.1%, away 26.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.90 3.85 3.55
888Sport 1.91 3.60 3.40
Bet365 1.95 3.75 3.60
BetVictor 1.95 3.75 3.40
Betano 2.00 3.65 3.95
Betfair 1.90 3.75 3.80
Dafabet 1.88 3.95 3.95
Marathonbet 1.88 3.80 3.60
Pinnacle 1.99 3.58 3.86
SBO 1.96 3.49 3.22
Unibet 1.98 3.75 3.35
William Hill 1.91 3.60 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.95 ▲ +0.08
X 3.70 ▼ -0.02
2 3.60 ▲ +0.02

12 snapshots recorded, from .