Major League Soccer
·
Full time
·Matchday 26
New York City FC
vs
New York Red Bulls
0 – 1 Full time
| 6′ | A. Mehmeti | ||
| 22′ | C. Cowell | ||
| 30′ | N. Cavallo | ||
| 40′ | M. Sofo | ||
| 55′ | A. O'Neill | ||
| 57′ | J. Hall | ||
| 62′ | M. Dos SantosD. Padelford | ||
| 62′ | H. WolfB. Traore | ||
| 62′ | LuighiA. Martinez | ||
| 75′ | A. OjedaM. Jones | ||
| 84′ | C. CowellJ. Ruvalcaba | ||
| 84′ | A. MehmetiD. Ruiz | ||
| 84′ | J. HallE. M. Choupo-Moting |
New York City FC
52%
Draw
25%
New York Red Bulls
22%
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 63 | Possession % | 37 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 19 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 0 | Saves | 4 |
| 429 | Accurate passes | 226 |
New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls overview
Garuda Lions analysis: New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls
| Probability | New York City FC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.1% | 30.4% | 20.5% |
| Market | 53.4% | 23.4% | 23.1% |
| Final | 52.3% | 25.2% | 22.5% |
| Edge | -4.3% | +7.0% | -2.7% |
Why New York City FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.36 vs 0.79.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
87%
2+ goals
65%
3+ goals
37%
No goals
13%
New York City FC and New York Red Bulls expected goals
New York City FC
1.36
New York Red Bulls
0.79
Total expected goals: 2.15
New York City FC and New York Red Bulls attack and defence ratings
New York City FC
Attack
0.84 -16%
Defence
0.83 -17%
New York Red Bulls
Attack
0.70 -30%
Defence
0.94 -6%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls: result vs prediction
New York City FC 0 – 1 New York Red Bulls
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
- San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC
- New England Revolution v Orlando City SC — match page
- CF Montreal vs Columbus Crew — team news & stats
- DC United vs Charlotte
- FC Dallas v Austin — match page
- Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati — team news & stats
- Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union
- Minnesota United FC v Los Angeles Galaxy — match page
Before and after this match
New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | New York City FC | 52.3% | 1.91 | -4.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.5% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.9% | 1.97 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | New York City FC | 52.3% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| New York Red Bulls | 22.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.9% |
| No | 58.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | New York City FC win | 24.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.8% | |
| Loss | 50.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.6% |
| 1-1 | 13.8% | |
| 0-0 | 12.8% |
New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls stats
New York City FC and New York Red Bulls recent form
| New York City FC |
WLDDDL |
| New York Red Bulls |
WLDLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
New York City FC and New York Red Bulls going into this match
New York City FC record
- They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
New York Red Bulls record
- They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 25 matches.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
5New York City FC wins
2Draws
3New York Red Bulls wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | New York Red Bulls | New York City FC | Major League Soccer | 1-1 |
| 2026-04-29 | New York Red Bulls | New York City FC | US Open Cup | 1-3 |
| 2025-09-27 | New York Red Bulls | New York City FC | Major League Soccer | 2-3 |
| 2025-05-17 | New York City FC | New York Red Bulls | Major League Soccer | 2-0 |
| 2024-11-23 | New York City FC | New York Red Bulls | Major League Soccer | 0-2 |
| 2024-09-28 | New York Red Bulls | New York City FC | Major League Soccer | 1-5 |
| 2024-05-18 | New York City FC | New York Red Bulls | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
| 2023-09-16 | New York City FC | New York Red Bulls | Major League Soccer | 0-0 |
| 2023-08-04 | New York Red Bulls | New York City FC | Leagues Cup | 1-0 |
| 2023-05-13 | New York Red Bulls | New York City FC | Major League Soccer | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 53.4%, draw 23.4%, away 23.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 4.20 | 4.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.82 | 4.20 | 4.25 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 4.00 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.76 | 3.94 | 3.94 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78 | 4.15 | 4.21 |
| SBO | 1.77 | 3.74 | 3.66 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.75 | 3.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.75 ▼ -0.05
X
4.00 ▼ -0.05
2
4.05 ▲ +0.29
11 snapshots recorded, from .