Major League Soccer
·
Full time
·Matchday 26
DC United
vs
Charlotte
1 – 2 Full time
| 3′ | Peglow | ||
| 22′ | A. Westwood | ||
| 47′ | D. Schnegg | ||
| 47′ | L. Bartlett | ||
| 57′ | A. Dozzell | ||
| 65′ | J. HopkinsN. Ordaz | ||
| 69′ | L. AbadaR. Aloko | ||
| 69′ | D. SchneggH. Toffolo | ||
| 71′ | A. Saint-Maximin | ||
| 72′ | B. ServaniaM. Peltola | ||
| 74′ | I. ToklomatiA. Goodwin | ||
| 82′ | A. Westwood | ||
| 86′ | A. DozzellN. Markovic | ||
| 89′ | A. Saint-MaximinM. Agyemang | ||
| 89′ | P. BielL. de la Torre |
DC United
31%
Draw
26%
Charlotte
43%
Match stats
| 30 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 45 | Possession % | 55 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 7 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 5 | Saves | 9 |
| 359 | Accurate passes | 476 |
DC United vs Charlotte overview
Garuda Lions analysis: DC United vs Charlotte
| Probability | DC United | Draw | Charlotte |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.8% | 27.2% | 47.1% |
| Market | 32.8% | 25.5% | 41.6% |
| Final | 31.1% | 25.9% | 43.0% |
| Edge | -7.0% | +1.6% | +5.4% |
Why Charlotte
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 1.14.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Charlotte below the model: +5.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
77%
3+ goals
52%
No goals
8%
DC United and Charlotte expected goals
DC United
1.14
Charlotte
1.60
Total expected goals: 2.74
DC United and Charlotte attack and defence ratings
DC United
Attack
0.83 -17%
Defence
0.95 -5%
Charlotte
Attack
1.23 +23%
Defence
0.79 -21%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
DC United vs Charlotte: result vs prediction
DC United 1 – 2 Charlotte
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
- New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls — team news & stats
- San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC
- New England Revolution v Orlando City SC — match page
- CF Montreal vs Columbus Crew — team news & stats
- FC Dallas v Austin — match page
- Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati — team news & stats
- Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union
- Minnesota United FC v Los Angeles Galaxy — match page
Before and after this match
DC United vs Charlotte markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Charlotte | 43.0% | 2.33 | +5.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | DC United | 31.1% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| Charlotte | 43.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% |
| No | 44.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Charlotte win | 25.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 52.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 1-2 | 9.4% | |
| 0-1 | 9.2% |
DC United vs Charlotte stats
DC United and Charlotte recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
DC United and Charlotte going into this match
DC United record
- They have won 6 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Charlotte record
- They have won 11 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 25 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
DC United vs Charlotte head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
1DC United wins
2Draws
7Charlotte wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Charlotte | DC United | Major League Soccer | 3-1 |
| 2025-10-04 | DC United | Charlotte | Major League Soccer | 0-1 |
| 2025-07-16 | Charlotte | DC United | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-21 | DC United | Charlotte | US Open Cup | 2-2 |
| 2024-10-20 | DC United | Charlotte | Major League Soccer | 0-3 |
| 2024-06-15 | Charlotte | DC United | Major League Soccer | 1-0 |
| 2023-09-16 | Charlotte | DC United | Major League Soccer | 0-0 |
| 2023-04-29 | DC United | Charlotte | Major League Soccer | 3-0 |
| 2023-02-01 | DC United | Charlotte | Friendlies Clubs | 2-3 |
| 2022-08-03 | Charlotte | DC United | Major League Soccer | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
DC United vs Charlotte odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.6%, draw 25.5%, away 41.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.88 | 3.70 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.75 | 3.70 | 2.30 |
| Betano | 2.85 | 3.75 | 2.32 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.80 | 2.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.81 | 3.58 | 2.27 |
| Pinnacle | 2.92 | 3.70 | 2.35 |
| SBO | 2.48 | 3.28 | 2.26 |
| William Hill | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.88 ▲ +0.38
X
3.70 ▲ +0.20
2
2.27 ▼ -0.35
13 snapshots recorded, from .