Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 27

Vancouver Whitecaps vs DC United

3 – 3 Full time

16′Kimito Nono
23′Kye Rowles
25′Brian White
45′Bruno Caicedo
45′Jackson HopkinsNikola Marković
65′Lucas Bartlett
67′Emmanuel SabbiRyan Gauld
70′João Gabriel Martins PeglowJared Stroud
70′Silvan HeftiBrandon Servania
72′Thomas Müller
80′Kimito Nono
85′Oliver Love LarrazJohnny Selemani
85′Rui ModestoSam Adekugbe
86′Nathan OrdazSean Nealis
86′Hosei KijimaWilliam Antley

BC Place, VancouverReferee: Fotis Bazakos

Vancouver Whitecaps 73%
Draw 17%
DC United 10%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 21
9 Shots on target 8
63 Possession % 37
7 Corners 10
10 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 2
4 Saves 6
469 Accurate passes 222

Vancouver Whitecaps vs DC United overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Vancouver Whitecaps vs DC United

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVancouver WhitecapsDrawDC United
Model64.7%22.1%13.2%
Market75.8%15.0%9.2%
Final73.0%16.8%10.2%
Edge-11.1%+7.1%+4.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Vancouver Whitecaps

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.04 vs 0.82.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Vancouver Whit ↓ / DC United → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 11% 11% 2 12% 10% 3 8% 7% 4+ 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

Vancouver Whitecaps and DC United expected goals

Vancouver Whitecaps 2.04
DC United 0.82

Total expected goals: 2.86

Vancouver Whitecaps and DC United attack and defence ratings

Vancouver Whitecaps

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 0.75 -25%

DC United

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Vancouver Whitecaps vs DC United: result vs prediction

Vancouver Whitecaps 3 – 3 DC United

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 27 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

Vancouver Whitecaps vs DC United markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Vancouver Whitecaps 73.0% 1.37 -11.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.6% 1.83 — —
Both teams to score No 50.2% 1.99 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 89.8% 1.11 — —
Handicap -1 Vancouver Whitecaps win 41.2% 2.43 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Vancouver Whitecaps73.0%
Draw16.8%
DC United10.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.6%
Under 2.545.4%
Both teams to scoreYes49.8%
No50.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)89.8%
12 (either side)83.2%
X2 (draw or away)27.0%
Handicap -1Vancouver Whitecaps win41.2%
Push (exactly one goal)23.6%
Loss35.2%
Correct score (top 3)2-011.9%
1-010.7%
1-110.5%

Vancouver Whitecaps vs DC United stats

Vancouver Whitecaps and DC United recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Vancouver Whitecaps and DC United going into this match

league record before kick-off

Vancouver Whitecaps record

  • They have won 15 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

DC United record

  • They have won 6 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 25 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).

Vancouver Whitecaps vs DC United head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

1Vancouver Whitecaps wins 2Draws 3DC United wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-10-01Vancouver WhitecapsDC UnitedMajor League Soccer2-2
2023-02-01Vancouver WhitecapsDC UnitedFriendlies Clubs1-1
2019-08-18Vancouver WhitecapsDC UnitedMajor League Soccer1-0
2018-07-15DC UnitedVancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer3-1
2017-05-27Vancouver WhitecapsDC UnitedMajor League Soccer0-1
2016-04-09DC UnitedVancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer4-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Vancouver Whitecaps vs DC United odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 75.8%, draw 15.0%, away 9.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
Bet365 1.25 7.00 9.00
BetVictor 1.22 6.00 11.00
Betano 1.28 6.40 11.50
Betfair 1.25 6.50 10.50
Marathonbet 1.22 6.20 10.75
Pinnacle 1.26 6.67 10.00
SBO 1.24 5.70 8.30
William Hill 1.22 6.00 10.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.25 ▲ +0.01
X 6.30 ▲ +0.45
2 10.25 —

18 snapshots recorded, from .