Portland Timbers
vs
Austin
1 – 2 Full time
Portland Timbers vs Austin overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Portland Timbers vs Austin
| Probability | Portland Timbers | Draw | Austin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.0% | 21.6% | 17.4% |
| Market | 59.3% | 21.4% | 19.3% |
| Final | 59.7% | 21.5% | 18.8% |
| Edge | +1.7% | +0.2% | -1.9% |
Why Portland Timbers
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 1.11.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Portland Timbers and Austin expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.31
Portland Timbers and Austin attack and defence ratings
Portland Timbers
Austin
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Portland Timbers vs Austin: result vs prediction
Portland Timbers 1 – 2 Austin
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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- DC United vs Los Angeles FC — team news & stats
- Inter Miami vs CF Montreal
- Houston Dynamo v San Jose Earthquakes — match page
- Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Portland Timbers vs Austin markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Portland Timbers | 59.7% | 1.67 | +1.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Portland Timbers win | 39.1% | 2.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Portland Timbers | 59.7% |
| Draw | 21.5% | |
| Austin | 18.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.5% |
| No | 39.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Portland Timbers win | 39.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 39.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 8.8% |
Portland Timbers vs Austin stats
Portland Timbers and Austin recent form
| Portland Timbers |
DWLWLW |
| Austin |
LDWLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Portland Timbers and Austin going into this match
Portland Timbers record
- They have won 9 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 23 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Austin record
- They have won 6 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 23 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Portland Timbers vs Austin head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-05 | Austin | Portland Timbers | Major League Soccer | 0-0 |
| 2025-03-02 | Portland Timbers | Austin | Major League Soccer | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Portland Timbers vs Austin odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.3%, draw 21.4%, away 19.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.59 | 4.50 | 4.55 |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 4.20 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| Betano | 1.62 | 4.30 | 5.10 |
| Betfair | 1.55 | 4.50 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.62 | 4.50 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.57 | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.59 | 4.49 | 4.92 |
| Unibet | 1.54 | 4.35 | 5.10 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 4.33 | 4.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .